Match Info

Serie A - Round 25

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine)

Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bolivia	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DAZN
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 4
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Udinese		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.2	Watch
	2.48	3.05	3.15	Watch
	2.56	3.09	3.2
	2.57	3.05	3.02	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3
	2.61	3.09	3.25
	2.54	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.36)	3.01 ↑ (2.89)	3.15 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
37.9%

Draw
31.7%

Sassuolo
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

32.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

32.5%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	40%	15%

Udinese - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 2 - 25%). Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Sassuolo (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Udinese (1.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.08) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DC, 1st Half - Sassuolo (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Udinese (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Sassuolo (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Okoye M. (G) 13. Bertola N. 31. Kristensen T. 28. Solet O. 33. Zemura J. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 38. Miller L. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 14. Atta A. 10. Zaniolo N. 15. Bayo V.	49. Muric A. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 90. Kone I. 35. Lipani L. 42. Thorstvedt K. 10. Berardi D. (C) 99. Pinamonti A. 45. Lauriente A.
Substitutes
20. Arizala J. 18. Buksa A. 29. Camara A. 19. Ehizibue K. 7. Gueye I. 27. Kabasele C. 22. Mlacic B. 1. Nunziante A. (G) 93. Padelli D. (G) 24. Piotrowski J. 6. Zarraga O.	50. Bakola D. 25. Coulibaly W. 20. Fadera A. 23. Garcia U. 44. Iannoni E. 24. Moro L. 8. Nzola M. 66. Pedro Felipe 19. Romagna F. 12. Satalino G. (G) 13. Turati S. (G) 7. Volpato C. 40. Vranckx A. 16. Zacchi G. (G)
Coaches
Runjaic K.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Solet O. ⚽, Ekkelenkamp J. (A),
16', Muharemovic T. 🟨,
21', Atta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Doig J. ↓, Coulibaly W. ↑,
46', Muharemovic T. ↓, Garcia U. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Lauriente A. ⚽, Pinamonti A. (A),
58', 1 - 2, Pinamonti A. ⚽, Garcia U. (A),
63', Zemura J. 🟨,
65', Miller L. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
65', Bayo V. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
72', Pinamonti A. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
77', Ekkelenkamp J. 🟨,
79', Ekkelenkamp J. ↓, Piotrowski J. ↑,
79', Karlstrom J. ↓, Arizala J. ↑,
79', Lauriente A. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
83', Coulibaly W. 🟨,
84', Berardi D. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
86', Solet O. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
90+6', Fadera A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Udinese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Sassuolo: 0.25% Udinese: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
08.02.26	Lecce - Udinese	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Udinese - Roma	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Verona - Udinese	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Udinese - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Udinese - Pisa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWLT
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
08.02.26	Sassuolo - Inter Milan	0:5 ✺
31.01.26	Pisa - Sassuolo	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Sassuolo - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Napoli - Sassuolo	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Roma - Sassuolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Sassuolo - Udinese	3:1
01.04.24	Sassuolo - Udinese	1:1
17.12.23	Udinese - Sassuolo	2:2
12.02.23	Udinese - Sassuolo	2:2
11.09.22	Sassuolo - Udinese	1:3
07.05.22	Sassuolo - Udinese	1:1
07.11.21	Udinese - Sassuolo	3:2

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