The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul 35.1%
Draw 26.6%
Club América 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
26.3%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
25.7%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruz Azul's form might have worsened.
Club América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Club América's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruz Azul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club América, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
28.6%
42.9%
Cruz Azul - Club América Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). América will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Cruz Azul (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Mier K. (G) 6. Lira E. (C) 4. Ditta W. 17. Garcia A. 5. Orozco J. 3. Campos O. 20. Paradela J. 8. Palavecino A. 16. Marquez J. 19. Rodriguez C. 7. Ibanez N.
30. Cota R. (G) 34. Espinoza D. 3. Reyes I. 29. Juarez R. 5. Alvarez K. 28. Sanchez E. 13. Cervantes A. 12. Violante I. 23. Raphael Veiga 7. Rodriguez B. 9. Martin H. (C)
Substitutes
11. Ebere C. 21. Fernandez G. 55. Gonzalez R. 1. Gudino A. (G) 10. Montano A. 12. Montes A. 2. Mozo A. 33. Piovi G. 18. Romero L. 29. Rotondi C.
26. Borja C. 189. Cardenas A. 6. Cerrillo E. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 217. Icaro 2. Lara E. 1. Malagon L. (G) 93. Miguel Borja 22. Perea O. 10. Zendejas A.
Coaches
Huiqui J.
Almada G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Lira E. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
29', Espinoza D. ↓, Borja C. ↑,
35', 2 - 0, Paradela J. ⚽, Rodriguez C. (A),
43', Ibanez N. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 3 - 0, Orozco J. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
45+6', Orozco J. 🟨,
45+6', Ibanez N. 🟨,
45+6', Raphael Veiga 🟨,
45+6', Cervantes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Violante I. ↓, Zendejas A. ↑,
46', Sanchez E. ↓, Icaro ↑,
52', 3 - 1, Rodriguez B. ⚽,
57', Campos O. ↓, Rotondi C. ↑,
57', Ibanez N. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
60', Lira E. 🟨,
63', Marquez J. 🟨,
69', Marquez J. ↓, Mozo A. ↑,
70', Raphael Veiga ↓, Perea O. ↑,
72', 4 - 1, Fernandez G. ⚽, Lira E. (A),
78', Martin H. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
78', Palavecino A. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
78', Garcia A. ↓, Piovi G. ↑,
90', 4 - 2, Perea O. ⚽, Alvarez K. (A),
90', 4 - 3, Miguel Borja ⚽,
90+3', Paradela J. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Cruz Azul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Cruz Azul: Levy M.
(Knee Injury)
Morales A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in América: Davila V.
(Knee Injury)
Malagon L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Zuniga J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Rotondi C.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in América: Zendejas A.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2:1.6).
Brazil
Mexico
South-america
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Mier K. (G) 
Lira E. (C) 
Paradela J. 
Raphael Veiga 
Rodriguez B. 
Ebere C. 
Cerrillo E. 
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