Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Banorte (Mexico City)

Referee: Pacheco Larios G. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet
Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
Usa	SportsEngine Play, TUDN, Univision


	Cruz Azul		Atlas

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.57	4.10	5.25
	1.5	4.05	5.9	Watch
	1.63	4.19	5.52
	1.6	4.11	5.38	Watch
	1.58	4.05	5.4
	1.56	3.98	5.52	Watch
	1.57	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.69)	4.06 ↑ (3.65)	5.49 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruz Azul
59.8%

Draw
23.1%

Atlas
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.3%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

24.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Cruz Azul - Atlas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Mier K. (G) 16. Marquez J. 4. Ditta W. 20. Paradela J. 5. Orozco J. 3. Campos O. 8. Palavecino A. 10. Montano A. 19. Rodriguez C. (C) 7. Ibanez N. 11. Ebere C.	12. Vargas C. (C) 28. Capasso M. 13. Aguirre G. 21. Schlegel R. 16. Valenzuela M. 6. Zaldivar E. 10. Esteves L. 11. Duk 58. Gonzalez A. 15. Ramirez P. 9. Monzon F.
Substitutes
49. Diaz J. 213. Duran Islas J. 21. Fernandez G. 17. Garcia A. 55. Gonzalez R. 1. Gudino A. (G) 12. Montes A. 196. Ramírez I. 18. Romero L. 70. Silva I.	251. Gamboa L. 2. Gustavo Ferrareis 23. Hernandez S. 17. Lozano J. 203. Martin J. 4. Mora A. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 5. Rodriguez J. 22. Sanchez A. (G) 192. Serrato J.
Coaches
Huiqui J.	Crespo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Zaldivar E. ⚽, Duk (A),
45', 0 - 2, Monzon F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ebere C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
46', Montano A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
68', Gonzalez A. ↓, Gustavo Ferrareis ↑,
68', Duk ↓, Rios De Alba V. H. ↑,
69', Marquez J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
75', Rodriguez C. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
78', Zaldivar E. ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,
85', Campos O. ↓, Silva I. ↑,
89', Valenzuela M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
89', Esteves L. ↓, Serrato J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Cruz Azul is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Cruz Azul: Ditta W. (Knee Injury) Morales A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atlas: Mmaee R. (Injury) Sanchez J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Palavecino A. (Knock) Piovi G. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Atlas: Rocha A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now

Cruz Azul: 11.88% Atlas: 5.54%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atlas	10	5	2	3	16:17	-1	17
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16

Last Results with these Odds

Cruz Azul - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.82%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Atlas - the odds 4.65 are the expected chance of winning is 19.87%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruz Azul FC
Mexican Liga MX
16.08.26	Tijuana - Cruz Azul	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
13.08.26	Cruz Azul - Chicago Fire	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Cruz Azul - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
01.08.26	Cruz Azul - Atlante	2:3 ✺
Mexican Campeon de Campeones
25.07.26	Toluca - Cruz Azul	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLW
- Club Atlas
Mexican Liga MX
15.08.26	Atlas - Tigres UANL	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Cincinnati - Atlas	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Charlotte - Atlas	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Columbus Crew - Atlas	3:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
01.08.26	Atlas - Monterrey	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
09.05.26	Cruz Azul - Atlas	1:0
02.05.26	Atlas - Cruz Azul	2:3
14.01.26	Cruz Azul - Atlas	2:0
19.07.25	Atlas - Cruz Azul	3:3
11.01.25	Cruz Azul - Atlas	1:1
06.11.24	Atlas - Cruz Azul	2:2
21.04.24	Cruz Azul - Atlas	2:2

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