What is the expert prediction for Cruz Azul vs Los Angeles?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Cruz Azul vs Los Angeles. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Cruz Azul vs Los Angeles Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, April 14, 2026)

Match Info

CONCACAF Champions Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)

Referee: Barton I. (Sal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Haiti	Tele Haiti
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 1
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX One, FOX Sports 1, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cruz Azul		Los Angeles

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.75	5	Watch
	1.49	4.45	5.15	Watch
	1.51	5.26	5.25
	1.54	5.05	4.82	Watch
	1.44	4.6	4.8
	1.61	4.9	4.91	Watch
	1.98	3.6	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.18)	4.66 ↑ (3.4)	4.74 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruz Azul
59.7%

Draw
20.3%

Los Angeles
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

27%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

26.8%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.

Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruz Azul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Mier K. (G) 4. Ditta W. 6. Lira E. (C) 33. Piovi G. 3. Campos O. 8. Palavecino A. 16. Marquez J. 29. Rotondi C. 10. Montano A. 19. Rodriguez C. 21. Fernandez G.	1. Lloris H. (C) 14. Palencia S. 5. Porteous R. 91. Nkosi Tafari 4. Segura E. 66. Choiniere M. 8. Delgado M. 11. Tillman T. 30. Martinez D. 99. Bouanga D. 7. Son Heung-Min
Substitutes
42. Castro A. 11. Ebere C. 36. Gonzalez R. 1. Gudino A. (G) 32. Jimenez C. 34. Levy M. 31. Morales A. 30. Ochoa E. (G) 20. Paradela J. 22. Rodarte J. 18. Romero L. 35. Velazquez K.	19. Boyd T. 31. Carter C. (G) 17. Ebobisse J. 70. Evans M. 12. Hasal T. (G) 24. Hollingshead R. 33. Long A. 27. Ordaz N. 21. Raposo R. 18. Shaffelburg J. 29. Smolyakov A. 22. Terry J.
Coaches
Larcamon N.	Dos Santos M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Larcamon N. 🟨,
12', Palavecino A. 🟨,
12', Fernandez G. 🟨,
12', Bouanga D. 🟨,
13', Rotondi C. 🟨,
13', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Fernandez G. (Penalty Awarded),
20', Porteous R. 🟨,
41', Segura E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', Martinez D. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
68', Montano A. ↓, Paradela J. ↑,
76', Marquez J. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
82', Lira E. ↓, Levy M. ↑,
87', Tillman T. ↓, Hollingshead R. ↑,
90+2', Piovi G. 🟥,
90+7', 1 - 1, Bouanga D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.

In recent matches, Cruz Azul has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Los Angeles is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Cruz Azul is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

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Last Results with these Odds

Cruz Azul - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.15%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruz Azul FC
Mexican Liga MX
11.04.26	Club América - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
07.04.26	Los Angeles - Cruz Azul	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
04.04.26	Cruz Azul - Pachuca	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.26	Cruz Azul - Atlético Nacional	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
20.03.26	Mazatlan - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLWT
- Los Angeles FC
MLS
11.04.26	Portland Timbers - Los Angeles	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
07.04.26	Los Angeles - Cruz Azul	3:0 ✺
MLS
04.04.26	Los Angeles - Orlando City	6:0 ✺
21.03.26	Austin FC - Los Angeles	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
17.03.26	Alajuelense - Los Angeles	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
07.04.26	Los Angeles - Cruz Azul	3:0
16.12.20	Los Angeles - Cruz Azul	2:1

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