Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes (Mexico City)

Referee: Garcia O. M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	Club América		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.98	2.98	2.52	Watch
	3.04	3.14	2.6
	2.81	3.17	2.62
	2.8	2.8	2.4
	2.86	3.02	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.33)	3.04 ↓ (3.18)	2.53 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club América
32.1%

Draw
30.8%

Cruz Azul
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.5%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

29%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club América's form might have worsened.

Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Club América - Cruz Azul Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. América will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Cruz Azul will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Cota R. (G) 3. Reyes I. 29. Juarez R. 4. Caceres S. 26. Borja C. 17. Rodrigo Dourado 6. dos Santos J. (C) 33. Salas P. 45. Lima 7. Rodriguez B. 10. Zendejas A.	1. Gudino A. (G) 6. Lira E. (C) 4. Ditta W. 33. Piovi G. 3. Campos O. 8. Palavecino A. 16. Marquez J. 19. Rodriguez C. 20. Paradela J. 7. Ibanez N. 29. Rotondi C.
Substitutes
5. Alvarez K. 13. Cervantes A. 22. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 23. Raphael Veiga 28. Sanchez E. 21. Tapia F. (G) 32. Vazquez M. 12. Violante I. 19. Zuniga J.	170. Castro A. 11. Ebere C. 21. Fernandez G. 214. Levy M. 23. Mier K. (G) 10. Montano A. 22. Rodarte J. 18. Romero L.
Coaches
Jardine A.	Larcamon N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Salas P. ⚽, Zendejas A. (A),
20', Piovi G. 🟨,
38', Ibanez N. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
45+3', 1 - 1, Campos O. ⚽, Rotondi C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodrigo Dourado ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
46', Paradela J. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
57', Lima ↓, Alvarez K. ↑,
57', Borja C. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
68', Zendejas A. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
69', Palavecino A. ↓, Rodarte J. ↑,
84', Salas P. ↓, Zuniga J. ↑,
88', Marquez J. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
88', Campos O. ↓, Morales A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in América: Davila V. (Knee Injury) Malagon L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Martin H. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in América: Espinoza D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Orozco J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, América won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 1.3:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Club America	9	6	2	1	21:10	11	20
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16

Last Results with these Odds

Club América - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.92%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Cruz Azul - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 32.55%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club América
CONCACAF Champions Cup
07.04.26	Nashville SC - Club América	0:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
04.04.26	Santos Laguna - Club América	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	UNAM - Club América	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.03.26	Club América - Philadelphia Union	1:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
15.03.26	Club América - Mazatlan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLTW
- Cruz Azul FC
CONCACAF Champions Cup
07.04.26	Los Angeles - Cruz Azul	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
04.04.26	Cruz Azul - Pachuca	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.26	Cruz Azul - Atlético Nacional	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
20.03.26	Mazatlan - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
17.03.26	Cruz Azul - Monterrey	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
18.10.25	Cruz Azul - Club América	2:1
18.05.25	Club América - Cruz Azul	2:1
15.05.25	Cruz Azul - Club América	1:0
12.04.25	Club América - Cruz Azul	0:0
CONCACAF Champions Cup
08.04.25	Cruz Azul - Club América	2:1
01.04.25	Club América - Cruz Azul	0:0
Mexican Liga MX
08.12.24	Cruz Azul - Club América	3:4

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