Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday


	Cruz Azul Hidalgo		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.6
	2.35	3.2	2.55
	2.53	3.1	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.54)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	2.62 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruz Azul Hidalgo
37.1%

Draw
28.5%

Alacranes de Durango
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

20.8%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruz Azul Hidalgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul Hidalgo than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruz Azul Hidalgo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alacranes de Durango could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Recent matches Cruz Azul Hidalgo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alacranes de Durango is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cruz Azul Hidalgo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
29.04.21	Alacranes de Durango - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1:1 ✺
24.04.21	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Azores de Hidalgo	3:2 ✺
28.03.21	Deportivo Zitácuaro - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1:0 ✺
20.03.21	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Cafetaleros de Chiapas 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWLT
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
29.04.21	Alacranes de Durango - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1:1 ✺
23.04.21	Alacranes de Durango - Cafetaleros de Chiapas 2	0:0 ✺
17.04.21	Cafetaleros de Chiapas 2 - Alacranes de Durango	0:0
09.04.21	Alacranes de Durango - Mazorqueros	4:0 ✺
02.04.21	Mineros de Fresnillo - Alacranes de Durango	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
29.04.21	Alacranes de Durango - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1:1

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