Match Info

Date: 9 November 2020, Monday


	Cruzeiro		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.5
	1.67	3.35	4.7
	1.7	3.3	5
	1.73	3.53	5.5
	1.7	3.3	5.25
	1.73	3.54	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.66)	3.43 ↓ (3.54)	5.04 ↓ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
54.6%

Draw
27%

Guaraní Asuncion
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

26.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

20.9%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.5%	7.5%	25%

Cruzeiro - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 27 - 67.5%). Guaraní will win (votes: 10 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 53% – 82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 14).

Cruzeiro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Guaraní is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cruzeiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cruzeiro is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cruzeiro to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
06.11.20	Botafogo SP - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
30.10.20	Cruzeiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
25.10.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
20.10.20	Operário Ferroviario - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
16.10.20	Cruzeiro - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTWT
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Club General Díaz	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
06.11.20	Guaraní Asuncion - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
01.11.20	Juventude - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
26.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
11.08.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Cruzeiro	2:3

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