Match Info

Date: 6 November 2020, Friday


	Botafogo SP		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.75	2.2	Watch
	3.25	2.75	2.3
	3.35	2.75	2.2	Watch
	3.4	2.75	2.31
	3.61	2.93	2.41
	3.5	2.75	2.3
	3.5	2.86	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (5.99)	2.79 ↓ (3.22)	2.3 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
26.7%

Draw
33.1%

Cruzeiro
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

29.6%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

23.4%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo SP's performance.

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo SP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+28.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.6%	24.1%	48.3%

Botafogo SP - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 14 - 48.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 30.1% – 66.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 16).

Botafogo SP is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cruzeiro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cruzeiro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
31.10.20	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	Botafogo SP - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
20.10.20	CS Alagoano - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
16.10.20	Botafogo SP - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
11.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLLL
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
30.10.20	Cruzeiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
25.10.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
20.10.20	Operário Ferroviario - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
16.10.20	Cruzeiro - Juventude	0:0 ✺
11.10.20	Osasco Sporting - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
08.08.20	Cruzeiro - Botafogo SP	2:1

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