Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 21

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cruzeiro		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5	Watch
	1.75	3.5	5
	1.75	3.45	4.7
	1.79	3.57	5.21
	1.76	3.40	4.98	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.8
	1.79	3.49	5.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.69)	3.46 ↓ (3.73)	4.96 ↓ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
53.6%

Draw
27.3%

Internacional RS
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.3%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

24.5%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Cruzeiro - Internacional RS Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Internacional will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 50%). Internacional (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cassio (G) 12. William Furtado 15. Fabricio Bruno 25. Villalba L. 6. Kaiki 29. Romero L. 16. Lucas Silva (C) 88. Christian 10. Matheus Pereira 94. Wanderson 19. Kaio Jorge	1. Rochet S. (G) 35. Aguirre B. 4. Vitao 18. Juninho 26. Bernabei A. 36. Richard 14. Rodriguez A. 17. Bruno Tabata 10. Alan Patrick (C) 21. Wesley 49. Ricardo Mathias
Substitutes
11. Bolasie Y. 26. Diaz L. 21. Eduardo 9. Gabriel Barbosa 14. Gamarra M. 77. Japa 34. Jonathan Jesus 36. Kaua Prates 70. Kenji 8. Matheus Henrique 81. Otavio Costa (G) 5. Walace	31. Allex 24. Anthoni (G) 23. Benitez A. 19. Borre R. 8. Bruno Henrique 7. Carbonero J. 20. Clayton Sampaio 47. Gustavo Prado 39. Luis Otavio 48. Raykkonen 11. Romero O. 41. Victor Gabriel
Coaches
Jardim L.	Roger Machado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Matheus Pereira ⚽, Wanderson (A),
24', 1 - 1, Bruno Tabata ⚽, Bernabei A. (A),
28', Bruno Tabata 🟨,
30', Juninho 🟨,
35', Bernabei A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Romero L. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Kaio Jorge ⚽, William Furtado (A),
64', Wesley ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,
64', Ricardo Mathias ↓, Borre R. ↑,
64', Richard ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
67', Wanderson ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
77', Matheus Pereira ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
77', Lucas Silva ↓, Eduardo ↑,
77', Bruno Tabata ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
85', Rodriguez A. ↓, Raykkonen ↑,
87', Kaio Jorge ↓, Kenji ↑,
90', Vitao 🟨,
90+1', Borre R. 🟥,
90+4', Gustavo Prado 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 0.

In recent matches, Cruzeiro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Internacional is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Internacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cruzeiro is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner (Broken Leg) Janderson (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Internacional: Bruno Gomes (Knee Injury) Drummond L. (Knee Injury) Ivan (Knee Injury) Mercado G. (Calf Injury) Ronaldo (Knee Injury) Valencia E. (Yellow Cards) Vitinho (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Cruzeiro: William Furtado (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
18.08.25	Mirassol - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Cruzeiro - Santos	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
07.08.25	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.08.25	Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	Cruzeiro - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWWT
- Internacional RS
Copa Libertadores
20.08.25	Internacional RS - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.08.25	Internacional RS - Flamengo	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.25	Flamengo - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Internacional RS	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.08.25	Fluminense - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
06.04.25	Internacional RS - Cruzeiro	3:0
28.08.24	Cruzeiro - Internacional RS	0:0
25.08.24	Internacional RS - Cruzeiro	1:0
05.11.23	Cruzeiro - Internacional RS	1:2
01.07.23	Internacional RS - Cruzeiro	0:0
05.10.19	Cruzeiro - Internacional RS	1:1
Copa do Brasil
04.09.19	Internacional RS - Cruzeiro	3:0

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