Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 8

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Israel	Sport 3
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cruzeiro		Santos

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.6
	1.68	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.71	3.77	5.59
	1.68	3.79	5.28	Watch
	1.67	3.4	5
	1.77	3.69	5.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.81)	3.66 ↓ (3.69)	5.11 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
55.6%

Draw
25.8%

Santos
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.7%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

Cruzeiro - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Cruzeiro (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Matheus Cunha (G) 12. William Furtado 15. Fabricio Bruno 25. Villalba L. 6. Kaiki 8. Matheus Henrique 11. Gerson 88. Christian 10. Matheus Pereira (C) 99. Arroyo K. 22. Villarreal N.	77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 18. Igor Vinicius 4. Lucas Verissimo (C) 14. Luan Peres 31. Escobar G. 25. Gabriel Menino 28. Oliva C. 48. Gustavo Henrique 22. Barreal A. 11. Rony 21. Moises
Substitutes
9. Bruno Rodrigues 23. Fagner 77. Japa 43. Joao Marcelo 34. Jonathan Jesus 2. Kaua Moraes 36. Kaua Prates 70. Kenji 16. Lucas Silva 81. Otavio Costa (G) 29. Romero L. 94. Wanderson	1. Diogenes (G) 98. Frias A. 49. Gabriel Bontempo 26. Joao Ananias 5. Joao Schmidt 38. Rafael Gonzaga 8. Rincon T. 7. Robinho Jr. 32. Rollheiser B. 16. Thaciano 15. Willian Arao 2. Ze Ivaldo
Coaches
Carvalho W.	Vojvoda J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Barreal A. 🟨,
12', William Furtado 🟨,
45+3', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moises ↓, Thaciano ↑,
70', Arroyo K. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
70', Villarreal N. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
81', Oliva C. ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
83', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
84', Rincon T. 🟨,
85', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Joao Schmidt ↑,
85', Gabriel Menino ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
87', Christian ↓, Kenji ↑,
90+5', Matheus Henrique ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
90+9', Gabriel Menino 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Santos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cruzeiro is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Bruno Rodrigues (Inactive) Cassio (Injury) Gerson (Inactive) Joao Marcelo (Inactive) Kaio Jorge (Inactive) Marquinhos (Knee Injury) Romero L. (Inactive) Sinisterra L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Santos: Vinicius Lira (Inactive) Ze Rafael (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Cruzeiro	29	14	6	9	44:40	4	48
8	Santos	29	11	9	9	45:43	2	42

Last Results with these Odds

Cruzeiro - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.3%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
18.03.26	Athletico Paranaense - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	3:3 ✺
11.03.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.03.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Cruzeiro - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWW
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
18.03.26	Santos - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Santos - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Mirassol - Santos	2:2 ✺
26.02.26	Santos - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
22.02.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Santos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Santos - Cruzeiro	3:0
10.08.25	Cruzeiro - Santos	1:2
14.09.23	Santos - Cruzeiro	0:3
06.05.23	Cruzeiro - Santos	2:1
23.11.19	Santos - Cruzeiro	4:1
18.08.19	Cruzeiro - Santos	2:0
23.09.18	Cruzeiro - Santos	2:1

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