Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Argentina	17:00	ESPN 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	ESPN 2
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	15:00	ESPN 5
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	14:00	Caliente TV
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Fox Sports 2
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 6
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 4
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 5
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Inter
Vietnam	03:00	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Stuttgart		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.6	2.5
	2.65	3.4	2.55
	2.7	3.6	2.58	Watch
	2.71	3.65	2.63
	2.7	3.52	2.63	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.6
	2.7	3.7	2.57
	2.7	3.6	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.16)	3.57 ↓ (3.92)	2.58 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
35.8%

Draw
26.9%

Atalanta
37.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.5%

24.5%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

25.2%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stuttgart's form might have worsened.

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atalanta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stuttgart, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atalanta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.6%	25.4%	39%

Stuttgart - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 21 - 35.6%). Atalanta will win (votes: 23 - 39%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 25.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 26.6% – 51.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 4. Vagnoman J. 45. Chase A. 29. Rouault A. 7. Mittelstadt M. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 8. Millot E. 26. Undav D. 27. Fuhrich C. 10. Toure E. B.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 19. Djimsiti B. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 16. Bellanova R. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 77. Zappacosta D. 8. Pasalic M. 32. Retegui M. 11. Lookman A.
Substitutes
2. Al Dakhil A. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 24. Chabot J. 9. Demirovic E. 5. Keitel Y. 13. Kratzig F. 47. Malanga J. 32. Rieder F. 41. Seimen D. (G) 15. Stenzel P. 20. Stergiou L.	44. Brescianini M. 7. Cuadrado J. 17. De Ketelaere C. 5. Godfrey B. 3. Kossounou O. 27. Palestra M. 28. Patricio R. (G) 31. Rossi F. (G) 22. Ruggeri M. 24. Samardzic L. 2. Toloi R. 10. Zaniolo N.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Kolasinac S. ↓, Kossounou O. ↑,
41', Chase A. 🟨,
43', Hien I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pasalic M. ↓, De Ketelaere C. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Lookman A. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
55', Ederson 🟨,
56', Undav D. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
69', Demirovic E. 🟨,
69', Retegui M. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
74', Karazor A. ↓, Rieder F. ↑,
74', Fuhrich C. ↓, Chabot J. ↑,
79', Bellanova R. 🟨,
80', Toure E. B. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
81', Chase A. ↓, Stenzel P. ↑,
85', Bellanova R. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
85', Lookman A. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Zaniolo N. ⚽,

Preview

Stuttgart is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atalanta is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atalanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Leweling J. (Muscle Injury) Raimund L. (Muscle Injury) Zagadou D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Scalvini G. (Knee Injury) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Keitel Y. (Groin Injury) Stergiou L. (Back Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Stuttgart - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 44.54%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
01.11.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Stuttgart - Kaiserslautern	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.24	Stuttgart - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.24	Juventus - Stuttgart	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.10.24	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWWWL
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
03.11.24	Napoli - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
30.10.24	Atalanta - Monza	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Atalanta - Verona	6:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	Atalanta - Celtic	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.10.24	Venezia - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWTW

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