Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	15:30	DAZN 1
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada
China	22:30	ZhiBo8
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	15:30	ARD, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sportschau, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Extra 4
Hungary	15:30	Net4+
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	K-Vision, RCTI+
Japan	23:30	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect
Poland	15:30	Viaplay
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	17:30	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	21:30	ON Plus
International	14:30	Disney+, Onefootball


	Stuttgart		Bochum

	1	X	2
	1.29	6	9.5	Watch
	1.29	6	9
	1.3	6.5	9	Watch
	1.3	6.52	9.19
	1.31	6.4	9.27	Watch
	1.25	6	9.5	Watch
	1.31	6.58	10.1	Watch
	1.3	6.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)	6.31 ↑ (6.05)	9.32 ↑ (8.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
74.4%

Draw
15.3%

Bochum
10.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73%

15.9%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

16.2%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	11.5%	15.4%

Stuttgart - Bochum Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Bochum will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 20. Stergiou L. 29. Rouault A. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 16. Karazor A. (C) 8. Millot E. 4. Vagnoman J. 11. Woltemade N. 27. Fuhrich C. 9. Demirovic E.	27. Drewes P. (G) 14. Oermann T. 13. Medic J. 32. Wittek M. 15. Passlack F. 8. Losilla A. (C) 21. Holtmann G. 19. Bero M. 6. Sissoko I. 33. Hofmann P. 29. Broschinski M.
Substitutes
1. Bredlow F. (G) 45. Chase A. 17. Diehl J. 3. Hendriks R. 5. Keitel Y. 47. Malanga J. 32. Rieder F. 15. Stenzel P. 6. Stiller A.	5. Bernardo 7. Daschner L. 10. de Wit D. 2. Gamboa C. 1. Horn T. (G) 11. Kwarteng M. 4. Masovic E. 23. Miyoshi K. 20. Ordets I.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Hecking D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Chabot J. 🟨,
28', Sissoko I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Fuhrich C. ⚽, Stergiou L. (A),
57', Woltemade N. ↓, Stiller A. ↑,
64', Holtmann G. ↓, Bernardo ↑,
64', Sissoko I. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
71', Millot E. 🟨,
73', Hofmann P. 🟨,
77', Fuhrich C. ↓, Diehl J. ↑,
78', Millot E. ↓, Rieder F. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Diehl J. ⚽, Rieder F. (A),
79', Passlack F. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
79', Losilla A. ↓, Miyoshi K. ↑,
86', Chabot J. ↓, Hendriks R. ↑,
86', Stergiou L. ↓, Chase A. ↑,
87', Broschinski M. ↓, Daschner L. ↑,
90', Bero M. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stuttgart won 3.

Recent matches Stuttgart is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bochum is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bochum could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Stuttgart have a series of home games.

In this match Stuttgart is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Chase A. (Muscle Injury) Leweling J. (Muscle Injury) Raimund L. (Muscle Injury) Stergiou L. (Back Injury) Stiller A. (Muscle Injury) Toure E. B. (Knock) Undav D. (Muscle Injury) Zagadou D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bochum: Bernardo (Knee Injury) Boadu M. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A. (Illness)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Stuttgart won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:10 (average 1.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Stuttgart won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:4 (average 2.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
10.11.24	Stuttgart - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.11.24	Stuttgart - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Stuttgart - Kaiserslautern	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.24	Stuttgart - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTWW
- VfL Bochum
Club Friendly
14.11.24	Bochum - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
09.11.24	Bochum - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bochum	7:2 ✺
27.10.24	Bochum - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
19.10.24	Hoffenheim - Bochum	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
20.01.24	Bochum - Stuttgart	1:0
19.08.23	Stuttgart - Bochum	5:0
09.04.23	Bochum - Stuttgart	2:3
15.10.22	Stuttgart - Bochum	4:1
19.02.22	Stuttgart - Bochum	1:1
26.09.21	Bochum - Stuttgart	0:0
German 2 Bundesliga
17.02.20	Bochum - Stuttgart	0:1

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