Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stuttgart		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.33	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.7	4
	1.7	4.15	4.45	Watch
	1.65	4.35	4.71	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4
	1.75	4.37	4.62	Watch
	1.69	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.82)	4.13 ↑ (3.82)	4.4 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
55.4%

Draw
23%

Eintracht Frankfurt
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	10.7%	5.3%

Stuttgart - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Stuttgart (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Eintracht (2.25) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -0.75 - Stuttgart (1.82) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (63 of 74 users predict this - 85.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 93.24%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuttgart will win (31 of 32 users predict this - 96.88%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 33 - 82.5%). Eintracht (votes: 6 - 15%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 4. Vagnoman J. 3. Hendriks R. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 18. Leweling J. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 10. Fuhrich C. 9. Demirovic E. 26. Undav D.	40. Kaua Santos (G) 13. Kristensen R. 4. Koch R. (C) 5. Amenda A. 20. Doan R. 6. Hojlund O. 15. Skhiri E. 3. Theate A. 25. Kalimuendo A. 7. Knauff A. 11. Ebnoutalib Y.
Substitutes
30. Andres C. 22. Assignon L. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 29. Jeltsch F. 25. Jeremy Arevalo 28. Nartey N. 15. Stenzel P. 20. Stergiou L.	29. Amaimouni A. 19. Bahoya J. 24. Buta 34. Collins N. 18. Dahoud M. 41. Doumbia F. 27. Gotze M. 26. Kosugi K. 23. Zetterer M. (G)
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Toppmoller D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Kristensen R. ⚽, Doan R. (A),
9', Kalimuendo A. 🟨,
20', Ebnoutalib Y. ↓, Bahoya J. ↑,
27', 1 - 1, Demirovic E. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Undav D. ⚽, Vagnoman J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Chabot J. 🟨,
59', Demirovic E. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
66', Hojlund O. ↓, Dahoud M. ↑,
67', Knauff A. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
74', Chabot J. ↓, Jeltsch F. ↑,
75', Fuhrich C. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
77', Skhiri E. ↓, Collins N. ↑,
77', Doan R. ↓, Amaimouni A. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Amaimouni A. ⚽, Dahoud M. (A),
87', 3 - 2, Nartey N. ⚽, Vagnoman J. (A),
90+3', Leweling J. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
90+3', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Stergiou L. ↑,
90+4', Hendriks R. 🟨,
90+6', Theate A. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 2.

Stuttgart has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Eintracht has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Eintracht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stuttgart is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Stuttgart: El Khannouss B. (International duty) Jaquez L. (Thigh Injury) Jovanovic L. (Back Injury) Tomas T. (Muscle Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Eintracht: Batshuayi M. (Foot Injury) Baum E. (Injury) Chaibi F. (Rest) Chandler T. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Al Dakhil A. (Illness)

There are questionable in Eintracht: Bahoya J. (Illness) Burkardt J. (Calf Injury)

We predict that Stuttgart will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 33:41. (average 1.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.7:2.3).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Eintracht Frankfurt: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9:10	-1	5
15	Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6:9	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
10.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Stuttgart - Luzern	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Stuttgart - Maccabi Tel Aviv	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTWW
- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
09.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	3:3 ✺
20.12.25	Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Barcelona - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
06.12.25	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
29.03.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Stuttgart	1:0
10.11.24	Stuttgart - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:3
13.04.24	Stuttgart - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:0
25.11.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Stuttgart	1:2
German DFB Pokal
03.05.23	Stuttgart - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:3
German Bundesliga
11.03.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Stuttgart	1:1
17.09.22	Stuttgart - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3

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