Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Crystal Palace		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.75	3.1
	2.00	3.60	3.50
	2.15	3.55	3.25
	2.21	3.67	3.38
	2.12	3.64	3.39	Watch
	2.16	3.65	3.35
	2.18	3.8	3.14	Watch
	2.2	3.7	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.9)	3.67 ↑ (3.62)	3.3 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
44.7%

Draw
26.2%

Ipswich Town
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

27.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crystal Palace's form might have worsened.

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ipswich Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crystal Palace, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ipswich Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.3%	5.9%	8.8%

Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Crystal Palace (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.82) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Corners O/U 9.5 - under (2.00) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (1.73) (votes: 93%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Crystal Palace will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crystal Palace will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Ipswich (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Benitez W. (G) 26. Richards C. 5. Disasi A. 21. Ahanor H. 25. Khalaili A. 23. Timber Q. 20. Wharton A. (C) 3. Mitchell T. 18. Kamada D. 10. Pino Y. 22. Larsen J.	37. Scherpen K. (G) 26. O'Shea D. (C) 6. Diop I. 24. Greaves J. 3. Davis L. 23. Lukic S. 25. Palacios E. 7. Fatawu I. 10. Enciso J. 47. Clarke J. 19. Emersonn
Substitutes
33. Chilwell B. 28. Doucoure C. 12. Gozo Z. 19. Hughes W. 8. Lerma J. 31. Matthews R. (G) 11. McNeil D. 30. Mingueza O. 17. Tomiyasu T.	29. Akpom Ch. 9. Flemming Z. 12. Florentino 4. Kipre C. 38. Maeda D. 32. Nunez M. 42. Ouattara A. 11. Philogene J. 28. Walton C. (G)
Coaches
Sage P.	O'Neil G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 1 - 0, Khalaili A. ⚽, Kamada D. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Emersonn ⚽, Davis L. (A),
34', Disasi A. 🟥,
37', Pino Y. ↓, Tomiyasu T. ↑,
43', Clarke J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Davis L. ⚽, Emersonn (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Fatawu I. 🟨,
62', Fatawu I. ↓, Philogene J. ↑,
63', Clarke J. ↓, Maeda D. ↑,
63', Emersonn ↓, Flemming Z. ↑,
70', Lukic S. 🟨,
75', 2 - 2, Larsen J. ⚽, Kamada D. (A),
77', Lukic S. ↓, Florentino ↑,
77', Wharton A. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
77', Mitchell T. ↓, Chilwell B. ↑,
84', Kamada D. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
84', Larsen J. ↓, Gozo Z. ↑,
88', Greaves J. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Flemming Z. ⚽,
90+4', Richards C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Crystal Palace is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Mateta J. (Hamstring Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury) Sarr I. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Nketiah E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Matusiwa A. (Muscle Injury) Philogene J. (Ankle Injury) Taylor J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Ipswich: 0.22% Crystal Palace: 0.13%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7:11	-4	6
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English League Cup
08.09.26	Crystal Palace - Middlesbrough	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Fulham - Crystal Palace	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Crystal Palace - Manchester City	1:4 ✺
22.08.26	Everton - Crystal Palace	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Freiburg - Crystal Palace	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLL
- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
04.09.26	Ipswich Town - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Manchester United - Ipswich Town	5:2 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Ipswich Town - Leicester City	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
22.08.26	Ipswich Town - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Union Berlin - Ipswich Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
08.03.25	Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town	1:0
03.12.24	Ipswich Town - Crystal Palace	0:1
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Ipswich Town - Crystal Palace	0:1
English League Cup
22.08.17	Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town	2:1
English League Championship
16.04.13	Ipswich Town - Crystal Palace	3:0
06.11.12	Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town	5:0
14.04.12	Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town	N/A

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