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Current Win Probability
Crystal Palace 46.2%
Draw 26.5%
Middlesbrough 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
26.1%
21.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
27.9%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crystal Palace's form might have worsened.
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Middlesbrough's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crystal Palace, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Middlesbrough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
11.1%
22.2%
Crystal Palace - Middlesbrough Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Middlesbrough (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Benitez W. (G) 30. Mingueza O. 17. Tomiyasu T. 5. Disasi A. 21. Ahanor H. 33. Chilwell B. 24. Osorio D. 23. Timber Q. 19. Hughes W. (C) 10. Pino Y. 22. Larsen J.
31. Brynn S. (G) 2. Brittain C. 12. Ayling L. (C) 5. Jones A. 3. Byram S. 29. Malanda A. 10. Morris A. 11. Cozier-Duberry A. 14. Peart-Harris M. 9. Conway T. 13. Strelec D.
Substitutes
12. Gozo Z. 29. Guessand E. 18. Kamada D. 25. Khalaili A. 8. Lerma J. 31. Matthews R. (G) 11. McNeil D. 3. Mitchell T. 20. Wharton A.
17. Arfsten M. 8. Barron C. 6. Berhalter S. 19. Castledine L. 7. Lankshear W. 30. Neto Borges 4. Phillips A. 21. Pukstas R. 1. Vitek R. (G)
Coaches
Sage P.
Hellberg K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Larsen J. ⚽, Mingueza O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Byram S. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Larsen J. ⚽, Chilwell B. (A),
59', Osorio D. ↓, Kamada D. ↑,
59', Timber Q. ↓, Wharton A. ↑,
65', Malanda A. 🟨,
67', Conway T. ↓, Castledine L. ↑,
67', Strelec D. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Kamada D. ⚽, Larsen J. (A),
73', Pino Y. ↓, McNeil D. ↑,
73', Larsen J. ↓, Gozo Z. ↑,
73', Disasi A. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
77', Malanda A. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
83', Peart-Harris M. 🟨,
84', Morris A. ↓, Pukstas R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 3.
In recent matches, Crystal Palace has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Middlesbrough is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Crystal Palace may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, Crystal Palace is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Crystal Palace: Mateta J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Riad C.
(Knee Injury)
Sarr I.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Sarmiento J.
(Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
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Benitez W. (G) 
Mingueza O. 
Tomiyasu T. 
Disasi A. 
Ahanor H. 
Chilwell B. 
Osorio D. 
Timber Q. 
Larsen J. 
Jones A. 
Morris A. 
Conway T. 
Strelec D. 
Guessand E. 
Khalaili A. 
Lerma J. 
Neto Borges 
Vitek R. (G) 
Hellberg K. 
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