Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
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Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
World	Sport 24, Sport 24 At Sea


	Crystal Palace		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3.2
	2.32	3.45	3.1
	2.17	3.5	3.45
	2.28	3.52	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.2
	2.33	3.5	3.34	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.16)	3.44 ↓ (3.49)	3.27 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
42.6%

Draw
28%

Tottenham Hotspur
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.7%	20%	24.3%

Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 38 - 55.1%). Tottenham will win (votes: 17 - 24.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 20.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 43.4% – 66.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Tottenham (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Crystal Palace (3.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Tottenham (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Crystal Palace (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Tottenham (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (G) 8. Lerma J. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 17. Clyne N. 19. Hughes W. 20. Wharton A. 3. Mitchell T. 55. Devenny J. 10. Pino Y. 14. Mateta J.	1. Vicario G. (G) 23. Porro P. 4. Danso K. 37. van de Ven M. (C) 24. Spence D. 30. Bentancur R. 14. Gray A. 20. Kudus M. 15. Bergvall L. 39. Kolo Muani R. 9. Richarlison
Substitutes
72. Benamar D. 44. Benitez W. (G) 23. Canvot J. 86. Drakes-Thomas J. 21. Esse R. 9. Nketiah E. 42. Rodney K. 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C.	33. Davies B. 3. Dragusin R. 22. Johnson B. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 28. Odobert W. 6. Palhinha J. 44. Scarlett D. 25. Takai K. 11. Tel M.
Coaches
Glasner O.	Frank T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Danso K. 🟨,
22', Gray A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Gray A. ⚽, Richarlison (A),
45+3', Hughes W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lacroix M. 🟨,
58', Clyne N. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
63', Bergvall L. ↓, Palhinha J. ↑,
63', Kolo Muani R. ↓, Odobert W. ↑,
77', Pino Y. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
85', Lerma J. 🟨,
85', Devenny J. ↓, Esse R. ↑,
85', Kudus M. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
86', Gray A. ↓, Dragusin R. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 2.

Recent form of Crystal Palace has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tottenham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Crystal Palace could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Cardines R. (Muscle Injury) Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kamada D. (Hamstring Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Munoz D. (Knee Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury) Sarr I. (International duty)

There will not play in Tottenham: Bissouma Y. (International duty) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Romero C. (Red Card) Sarr P. M. (International duty) Simons X. (Red Card) Solanke D. (Ankle Injury) Takai K. (Foot Injury) Udogie D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Richards C. (Foot Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English League Cup
23.12.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
20.12.25	Leeds United - Crystal Palace	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Crystal Palace - KuPS Kuopio	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
14.12.25	Crystal Palace - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Shelbourne - Crystal Palace	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLW
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
20.12.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Slavia Prague	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
06.12.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Brentford	2:0 ✺
02.12.25	Newcastle United - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
11.05.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	0:2
27.10.24	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0
02.03.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	3:1
27.10.23	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2
06.05.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	1:0
04.01.23	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	0:4
26.12.21	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	3:0

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