Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nottingham Forest		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.30	2.63
	2.60	3.30	2.65
	2.63	3.40	2.65
	2.78	3.41	2.71
	2.67	3.51	2.69	Watch
	2.70	3.35	2.65
	2.94	3.38	2.54	Watch
	2.70	3.40	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.63)	3.38 ↑ (3.25)	2.65 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
35.4%

Draw
28.4%

Tottenham Hotspur
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.5%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Tottenham will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 38.6% – 78%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Tottenham (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Nottingham (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Tottenham (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 3 - 50%). Tottenham (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 23. Cunha 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 34. Aina O. 21. Schlager X. 24. McAtee J. 3. Williams N. 14. Ndoye D. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 19. Delap L.	31. Kinsky A. (G) 23. Porro P. 6. van Hecke J. P. 37. van de Ven M. (C) 13. Udogie D. 30. Bentancur R. 16. Tonali S. 17. Savinho 8. Gallagher C. 11. Tel M. 22. Marmoush O.
Substitutes
2. Diomande O. 8. Dominguez N. 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 11. Igor Jesus 12. John Victor (G) 27. Munoz D. 25. Netz L. 9. Wood Ch. 22. Yates R.	15. Bergvall L. 39. Dubravka M. (G) 18. Fernandes M. 14. Gray A. 20. Kudus M. 27. Mudryk M. 3. Robertson A. 5. Senesi M. 19. Solanke D.
Coaches
Glasner O.	De Zerbi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Udogie D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Milenkovic N. 🟨,
59', Aina O. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
59', Ndoye D. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
61', Udogie D. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
61', Savinho ↓, Kudus M. ↑,
74', Tel M. ↓, Mudryk M. ↑,
74', Delap L. ↓, Wood Ch. ↑,
78', McAtee J. 🟨,
83', Gallagher C. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
84', Marmoush O. ↓, Solanke D. ↑,
84', Fernandes M. 🟨,
90', Murillo ↓, Diomande O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Tottenham: 0.76% Nottingham: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Nottingham	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2:8	-6	2

Last Results with these Odds

Nottingham Forest - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.2%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Tottenham Hotspur - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.31%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
29.08.26	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Nottingham Forest - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
22.08.26	Nottingham Forest - Leeds United	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Nottingham Forest - Brest	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Nottingham Forest - Bayer Leverkusen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLLWW
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
29.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Charlton Athletic	5:1 ✺
English Premier League
22.08.26	Brentford - Tottenham Hotspur	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Hoffenheim	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
22.03.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Nottingham Forest	0:3
14.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	3:0
21.04.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Nottingham Forest	1:2
26.12.24	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0
07.04.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Nottingham Forest	3:1
15.12.23	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	0:2
11.03.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Nottingham Forest	3:1

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