Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tottenham Hotspur		Brentford

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	3.1
	2.38	3.25	2.95
	2.52	3.45	2.92
	2.36	3.4	3.04	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.9
	2.46	3.44	3.15	Watch
	2.4	3.33	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.09)	3.34 ↓ (3.63)	3.01 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur
39.6%

Draw
28.6%

Brentford
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

26.3%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tottenham Hotspur's form might have worsened.

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tottenham Hotspur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66%	14%	20%

Tottenham Hotspur - Brentford Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Tottenham will win (votes: 30 - 66.7%). Brentford will win (votes: 10 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 52.9% – 80.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.25 - Brentford (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tottenham Hotspur will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Brentford (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vicario G. (G) 23. Porro P. 17. Romero C. (C) 37. van de Ven M. 24. Spence D. 30. Bentancur R. 14. Gray A. 20. Kudus M. 7. Simons X. 9. Richarlison 39. Kolo Muani R.	1. Kelleher C. (G) 33. Kayode M. 4. van den Berg S. 22. Collins N. (C) 20. Ajer K. 6. Henderson J. 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 7. Schade K. 24. Damsgaard M. 19. Ouattara Da. 9. Thiago I.
Substitutes
15. Bergvall L. 4. Danso K. 33. Davies B. 22. Johnson B. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 28. Odobert W. 6. Palhinha J. 29. Sarr P. M. 11. Tel M.	45. Donovan R. 3. Henry R. 2. Hickey A. 27. Janelt V. 8. Jensen M. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 15. Onyeka F. 5. Pinnock E. 12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G)
Coaches
Frank T.	Andrews K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Richarlison ⚽, Simons X. (A),
28', Kayode M. 🟨,
31', Romero C. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Simons X. ⚽,
45', Ajer K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ajer K. ↓, Henry R. ↑,
47', Porro P. 🟨,
60', Schade K. 🟨,
61', Damsgaard M. ↓, Jensen M. ↑,
65', Bentancur R. ↓, Palhinha J. ↑,
72', Yarmolyuk Y. 🟨,
74', Kolo Muani R. ↓, Odobert W. ↑,
76', Kayode M. ↓, Hickey A. ↑,
76', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Janelt V. ↑,
77', Gray A. 🟨,
80', Kudus M. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
81', Romero C. ↓, Danso K. ↑,
88', Ouattara Da. ↓, Lewis-Potter K. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 3.

Tottenham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Brentford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tottenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Tottenham: Bissouma Y. (Ankle Injury) Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Solanke D. (Ankle Injury) Takai K. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Brentford: Hickey A. (Knock)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tottenham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tottenham Hotspur - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 45.72%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
02.12.25	Newcastle United - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Fulham	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Tottenham Hotspur	5:3 ✺
English Premier League
23.11.25	Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLLT
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
03.12.25	Arsenal - Brentford	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Brentford - Burnley	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Brentford	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Brentford - Newcastle United	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Crystal Palace - Brentford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
02.02.25	Brentford - Tottenham Hotspur	0:2
21.09.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Brentford	2:1
31.01.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Brentford	3:2
13.08.23	Brentford - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2
20.05.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Brentford	1:3
26.12.22	Brentford - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2
23.04.22	Brentford - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0

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