Match Info

Serie B - Round 22

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	San Antonio		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	2.65	2.60
	2.48	3.35	2.40	Watch
	2.95	2.60	2.71
	2.96	2.7	2.76	Watch
	2.88	2.63	2.61	Watch
	2.75	2.70	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.55)	2.77 ↓ (3.03)	2.61 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio
32.5%

Draw
32.8%

9 de Octubre
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

29.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

San Antonio - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

San Antonio is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )

9 de Octubre is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 0.

San Antonio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, 9 de Octubre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nueve de Octubre	28	11	12	5	31:20	11	45
6	San Antonio	28	7	12	9	26:32	-6	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio Ibarra FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
13.08.26	El Nacional - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
06.08.26	San Antonio - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Vinotinto - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	San Antonio - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
16.07.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - San Antonio	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWTL
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
15.08.26	9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors	2:2 ✺
06.08.26	El Nacional - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	9 de Octubre - 22 de Julio	1:0 ✺
16.07.26	Cumbayá - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
21.03.26	9 de Octubre - San Antonio	2:0
30.09.25	9 de Octubre - San Antonio	1:1
02.09.25	San Antonio - 9 de Octubre	2:2
24.07.25	9 de Octubre - San Antonio	1:0
15.05.25	San Antonio - 9 de Octubre	1:2
09.10.24	9 de Octubre - San Antonio	2:1
22.08.24	San Antonio - 9 de Octubre	1:0

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