Match Info
Serie B - Round 20Date: 6 August 2026, ThursdayLocation: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
El Nacional |
|
9 de Octubre |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
5.25 |
3.70 |
1.52 |
|
 |
6.7 |
3.4 |
1.5 |
|
 |
6.21 |
3.72 |
1.58 |
|
 |
7.47 |
3.72 |
1.5 |
 Watch |
 |
5.58 |
3.65 |
1.63 |
|
 |
6.6 |
3.35 |
1.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.3 ↓
(8.5) |
3.59 ↓
(3.95) |
1.54 ↑
(1.35) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
El Nacional
14.6% | Draw
25.6% | 9 de Octubre
59.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 9 de Octubre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 9 de Octubre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )). El Nacional is Serie B (Relegation Group ) 9 de Octubre is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )El Nacional has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, 9 de Octubre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).El Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, 9 de Octubre is the clear favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).Including home match between the teams, El Nacional won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
banner
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
|
| 2 | Nueve de Octubre ✔ | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 12 | EL Nacional ✔ | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14:31 | -17 | 8 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ecuadorian Serie B | | | 17.05.26 | 9 de Octubre - El Nacional | 3:1 | | Ecuadorian Copa | | | 18.09.25 | 9 de Octubre - El Nacional | 2:1 penalties | | 02.11.22 | 9 de Octubre - El Nacional | 0:0 | | 08.09.22 | El Nacional - 9 de Octubre | 2:0 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
