Match Info

Serie B - Round 19

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cumbayá		Cuenca Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.40
	2.08	2.98	3.4
	2.18	3.15	3.65
	2.17	3.01	3.63	Watch
	2.11	2.9	3.6
	2.14	3.13	3.54
	2.08	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.07)	3 (3)	3.52 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
43.4%

Draw
30.6%

Cuenca Juniors
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

30.5%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Cuenca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuenca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Cumbayá - Cuenca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Cuenca Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

In recent matches, Cumbayá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cuenca Juniors is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cumbayá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cumbayá might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cumbayá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Cuenca Juniors	29	10	9	10	23:32	-9	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
22.07.26	San Antonio - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
16.07.26	Cumbayá - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
08.07.26	El Nacional - Cumbayá	0:1 ✺
02.07.26	Cumbayá - 22 de Julio	4:0 ✺
10.06.26	Gualaceo - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWWL
- Cuenca Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.07.26	Cuenca Juniors - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:0 ✺
16.07.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Cuenca Juniors	0:1 ✺
09.07.26	Cuenca Juniors - LDU Portoviejo	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Cuenca Juniors - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
10.06.26	Independiente Juniors - Cuenca Juniors	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
07.05.26	Cuenca Juniors - Cumbayá	0:3

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