Match Info

Serie B - Round 6

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cuiabá		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.1	5	Watch
	1.9	3	4.55
	1.96	3.12	5.02
	1.96	2.87	4.9	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.6
	1.89	3.02	4.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.21)	3 ↑ (2.99)	4.8 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
49.3%

Draw
31.2%

Botafogo SP
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

31.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

31.6%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cuiabá's performance.

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo SP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cuiabá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo SP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Cuiabá - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Botafogo SP (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Botafogo SP (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Botafogo SP (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marcelo Carne (G) 37. Raylan 13. Joao Basso 4. Vitor Mendes 5. Calebe Costa 14. Eric Melo 30. Raul (C) 8. Pepe 88. David Miguel 10. Hernades 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues	12. Jordan (G) 31. Pedro Henrique 4. Vilar 13. Wallace 6. Patrick Brey (C) 16. Matheus Sales 28. Marco Antonio 30. Ze Hugo 8. Everton Morelli 11. Jefferson Nem 21. Luizao
Substitutes
7. Asad Y. 11. Eliel 44. Gabriel Knesowitsch 34. Jean (G) 1. Joao Carlos (G) 41. Kauan Cristtyan 91. Luis Soares 97. Luiz Otavio 6. Marlon 2. Nino Paraiba 29. Vinicius Peixoto 53. Weverson	25. Brenno Klippel (G) 27. Darlan 26. Felipe Vieira 22. Gabriel Inocencio 7. Kelvin 5. Leandro Maciel 19. Marcio Maranhao 20. Marquinho 32. Thalles 29. Thiago Moraes
Coaches
Barros E.	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Wallace 🟨,
40', Vitor Mendes ↓, Luis Soares ↑,
45+4', Rodrigo Rodrigues 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Eliel ↑,
47', Eric Melo 🟨,
63', Jefferson Nem ↓, Kelvin ↑,
63', Matheus Sales ↓, Leandro Maciel ↑,
63', David Miguel ↓, Weverson ↑,
63', Pepe ↓, Vinicius Peixoto ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Eric Melo ⚽, Hernades (A),
77', Weverson 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Luizao (Penalty Awarded),
82', Pedro Henrique ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
82', Marco Antonio ↓, Thiago Moraes ↑,
84', Hernades ↓, Kauan Cristtyan ↑,
85', Raul 🟨,
89', Ze Hugo ↓, Marcio Maranhao ↑,
90', Leandro Maciel 🟨,
90+3', Thiago Moraes 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 1.

Cuiabá is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Botafogo SP has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cuiabá will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Inactive) Gabriel Knesowitsch (Inactive)

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao (Injury) Ericson (Knee Injury) Guilherme Mariano (Inactive) Guilherme Queiroz (Inactive) Jonathan (Inactive) Victor Souza (Inactive)

There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gabriel Inocencio (Inactive) Hygor (Inactive) Rafael Gava (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Cuiaba: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36:38	-2	38

Last Results with these Odds

Cuiabá - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.25%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
19.04.26	Goiás - Cuiabá	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
15.04.26	Cuiabá - Porto Vitória	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
07.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Cuiabá - Ceará	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLTLL
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
19.04.26	Botafogo SP - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	América Mineiro - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Botafogo SP - Fortaleza	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.10.25	Botafogo SP - Cuiabá	2:2
30.06.25	Cuiabá - Botafogo SP	0:1
05.12.20	Cuiabá - Botafogo SP	2:0
01.09.20	Botafogo SP - Cuiabá	1:1
23.11.19	Botafogo SP - Cuiabá	0:0
23.08.19	Cuiabá - Botafogo SP	2:0
Brazilian Serie C
08.09.18	Botafogo SP - Cuiabá	0:3

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