Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 5

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)

Referee: Santos Sa Junior F. A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Disney+


	Cuiabá		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.1	4.8
	1.88	3.1	4.6
	1.92	3.1	5.24
	1.89	2.99	4.97	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.75
	1.84	3.18	4.72	Watch
	1.88	3.1	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.72)	3.11 ↓ (3.63)	4.8 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
50.3%

Draw
30.1%

Ferroviária
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25.8%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25.4%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Cuiabá - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 98. Matheusinho 4. Nathan 33. Alan Empereur 6. Sander 30. Lucas Mineiro 27. Denilson Alves 8. Max Alves 7. Pedrinho 22. Derik Lacerda 70. Juan Christian	41. Denis Junior (G) 2. Lucas Rodrigues 13. Gustavo Medina 44. Maycon 14. Eric Melo 5. Ricardinho (C) 8. Alencar 25. Ian Luccas 37. Thiago Lopes 92. Carlao 77. Juninho
Substitutes
1. Arthur (G) 3. Bruno Alves 55. Calebe Costa 20. David 45. De Lucca 13. Guilherme Mariano 77. Jadson 2. Leonardo Ataide 99. Lucas Cardoso 10. Ruan Oliveira	20. Albano 66. Edson Lucas 83. Erik Nascimento 70. Igor Bolt 7. Kevin 1. Leo Wall (G) 35. Netinho 99. Quirino 9. Ronaldo 29. Tarik 57. Wesley Pomba
Coaches
Guto Ferreira	Vinicius Bergantin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Denilson Alves 🟨,
37', Carlao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Juninho 🟨,
58', Thiago Lopes ↓, Albano ↑,
58', Alencar ↓, Netinho ↑,
70', Pedrinho ↓, Jadson ↑,
70', Denilson Alves ↓, De Lucca ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Alan Empereur ⚽, Nathan (A),
74', Ian Luccas ↓, Wesley Pomba ↑,
74', Juninho ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
75', Jadson 🟨,
80', Juan Christian ↓, Lucas Cardoso ↑,
83', Ricardinho ↓, Quirino ↑,
84', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Calebe Costa ↑,
86', Albano 🟨,
89', Calebe Costa 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Cuiabá is a favorite.

There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Vitor Barreto (Inactive) Ze Mario (Inactive)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
22.04.25	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
15.04.25	Cuiabá - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
10.04.25	Cuiabá - Avaí	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Volta Redonda - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
29.03.25	Cuiabá - Primavera AC	0:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWTWL
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie B
22.04.25	Volta Redonda - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	Ferroviária - Atlético Goianiense	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Amazonas - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Ferroviária - Remo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
19.03.25	Ituano - Ferroviária	4:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTTL

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