Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)

Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4


	Cuiabá		Lanús

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
	2.55	3	2.9	Watch
	2.56	3.05	3.02
	2.56	2.93	3.02
	2.5	3	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.89	Watch
	2.5	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.37)	3.02 ↓ (3.19)	2.91 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
37%

Draw
30.9%

Lanús
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.2%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

27.4%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Cuiabá - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walter (G) 23. Ramon 34. Bruno Alves 4. Marllon 33. Alan Empereur 22. Derik Lacerda 88. Fernando Sobral 30. Lucas Mineiro 21. Railan 16. Deyverson 9. Pitta I.	42. Acosta L. (G) 13. Canale Dominguez J. 23. Dominguez N. 6. Luciatti B. 22. Soler Barreto J. C. 35. Aguirre B. 5. Pena Biafore F. 15. Loaiza R. 32. Carrera R. 10. Marcelino Moreno 9. Bou W.
Substitutes
3. Allyson 97. Andre Luis 25. Clayson 11. Eliel 5. Filipe Augusto 44. Gabriel 8. Guilherme Madruga 7. Jonathan Cafu 18. Lucas Fernandes 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 10. Max 20. Rikelme	1. Aguerre A. (G) 40. Alvarez F. 8. Boggio L. 20. Cabrera B. 24. Caceres J. 18. Diaz L. 19. Gonzalez M. 21. Lotti A. 4. Perez G. 17. Rodriguez A. 27. Torres J. 16. Watson F. N.
Coaches
Iubel L. F.	Zielinski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Ramon ↓, Rikelme ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pitta I. ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
46', Soler Barreto J. C. ↓, Caceres J. ↑,
46', Carrera R. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
53', Canale Dominguez J. 🟨,
54', Diaz L. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Fernando Sobral ⚽, Deyverson (A),
66', Derik Lacerda ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
72', Canale Dominguez J. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
76', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Filipe Augusto ↑,
76', Fernando Sobral ↓, Max ↑,
78', Loaiza R. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
78', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Lotti A. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
83', Aguirre B. 🟨,

Preview

Cuiabá in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Lanús is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lanús could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
30.03.24	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
27.03.24	Cuiabá - Brasiliense	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
24.03.24	Cuiabá - Luverdense	4:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
20.03.24	Brasiliense - Cuiabá	1:4 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
17.03.24	Luverdense - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
27.03.24	Lanús - Unión Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
20.03.24	Belgrano - Lanús	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
15.03.24	Lanús - El Porvenir	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.03.24	Tigre - Lanús	2:3 ✺
07.03.24	Lanús - Central Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLWL

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