The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cuiabá 27.9%
Draw 34%
São Paulo 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
30.5%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
29.8%
36.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
33.3%
58.3%
Cuiabá - São Paulo Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). São Paulo will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Walter (C) 4. Marllon 34. Bruno Alves 33. Alan Empereur 2. Matheus Alexandre 88. Fernando Sobral 18. Lucas Fernandes 23. Ramon 19. Gustavo Sauer 9. Pitta I. 25. Clayson
23. Rafael (G) 13. Rafinha (C) 5. Robert Arboleda 35. Sabino 3. Lewis J. 16. Luiz Gustavo 21. Bobadilla D. 27. Wellington Rato 10. Luciano 7. Lucas Moura 17. Andre Silva
Substitutes
97. Andre Luis 27. Denilson Alves 11. Eliel 5. Filipe Augusto 44. Gabriel 8. Guilherme Madruga 7. Jonathan Cafu 63. Juan Tavares 30. Lucas Mineiro 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 10. Max Alves 21. Railan
32. Ferraresi N. 8. Giuliano Galoppo 37. Henrique Carmo 2. Igor Vinicius 93. Jandrei (G) 26. Liziero 4. Longo S. 20. Marcos Antonio 11. Rodrigo Nestor 18. Rodriguinho 22. Tressoldi R. 39. William Gomes
Coaches
Franco B.
Zubeldia L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Pitta I. ⚽,
19', Lucas Fernandes 🟨,
21', Lucas Moura 🟨,
38', Robert Arboleda 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Clayson ⚽, Lucas Fernandes (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Bobadilla D. ↓, Rodrigo Nestor ↑,
63', Wellington Rato ↓, William Gomes ↑,
63', Rafinha ↓, Igor Vinicius ↑,
63', Lewis J. ↓, Liziero ↑,
64', Gustavo Sauer ↓, Denilson Alves ↑,
64', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
73', Clayson ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
78', Matheus Alexandre 🟨,
90+4', Pitta I. ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
90+4', Fernando Sobral ↓, Guilherme Madruga ↑,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 2.
Cuiabá is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches São Paulo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Cuiabá: Andre Luis
(Injury)
There will not play in São Paulo: Alisson
(Injury)
Joao Moreira
(Injury)
Pablo Maia
(Injury)
Patryck
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
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Walter (C) 
Pitta I. 
Robert Arboleda 
Lewis J. 
Ferraresi N. 
Giuliano Galoppo 
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