Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 2

Date: 5 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)


	Cuiabá		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.8	Watch
	2.25	3	3.7
	2.15	3	3.75	Watch
	2.21	3.02	3.99
	2.21	3.02	3.99
	2.15	2.9	3.75
	2.23	3.05	3.85	Watch
	2.19	2.95	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.95)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)	3.82 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
43.3%

Draw
31.8%

Vitória Salvador
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27.1%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.4%	19.4%	11.1%

Cuiabá - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Vitória will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 53.2% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walter (C) 21. Railan 4. Marllon 33. Alan Empereur 23. Ramon 30. Lucas Mineiro 88. Fernando Sobral 10. Max Alves 11. Eliel 25. Clayson 9. Pitta I.	1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 97. Willean Lepo 13. Camutanga 4. Wagner Leonardo (C) 16. Lucas Esteves 29. Willian Oliveira 8. Luan Silva 15. Caio Vinicius 30. Matheuzinho 11. Osvaldo 9. Alerrandro
Substitutes
3. Allyson 97. Andre Luis 34. Bruno Alves 22. Derik Lacerda 19. Gimenez L. 8. Guilherme Madruga 7. Jonathan Cafu 63. Juan Tavares 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 2. Matheus Alexandre 20. Rikelme	31. Castillo E. 80. Daniel Junior 83. Fabio Soares 6. Felipe Vieira 39. Janderson 10. Jean Mota 5. Leo Naldi 12. Luiz Adriano 22. Muriel Becker (G) 62. Pablo 40. Reynaldo 17. Ze Hugo
Coaches
Petit	Thiago Carpini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Wagner Leonardo 🟨,
11', Caio Vinicius 🟨,
16', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
23', Railan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Railan ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
58', Eliel ↓, Derik Lacerda ↑,
59', Osvaldo ↓, Janderson ↑,
60', Matheuzinho ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
65', Luan Silva ↓, Leo Naldi ↑,
68', Clayson ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
68', Fernando Sobral ↓, Guilherme Madruga ↑,
70', Alerrandro ↓, Luiz Adriano ↑,
71', Caio Vinicius ↓, Jean Mota ↑,
78', Luiz Adriano 🟨,
80', Willean Lepo 🟨,
86', Marllon 🟨,
89', Derik Lacerda ↓, Andre Luis ↑,

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cuiabá will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cuiabá: Denilson Alves (Injury) Ramon (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie A
01.06.24	Cuiabá - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.05.24	Lanús - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.05.24	Cuiabá - Goiás	1:1 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.24	Cuiabá - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
11.05.24	Cuiabá - Vila Nova	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLTW
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
01.06.24	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Goianiense	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.05.24	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.05.24	Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Vitória Salvador - São Paulo	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
02.05.24	Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
08.12.20	Cuiabá - Vitória Salvador	3:3
05.09.20	Vitória Salvador - Cuiabá	4:2
11.10.19	Cuiabá - Vitória Salvador	1:3
09.07.19	Vitória Salvador - Cuiabá	0:1

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