Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 23

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)

Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Brazil	Premiere
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Vitória Salvador		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.30	3.30	Watch
	2.20	3.25	3.30
	2.30	3.20	3.10	Watch
	2.37	3.36	3.31
	2.35	3.43	3.04	Watch
	2.25	3.30	3.30
	2.38	3.37	3.21	Watch
	2.31	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.35)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)	3.23 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
41.6%

Draw
28.8%

Botafogo RJ
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Vitória Salvador - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (C) 2. Britez E. 25. Caca 36. Luan Candido 13. Ramon 6. Emmanuel Martinez 88. Ze Vitor 33. Erick 10. Matheuzinho 12. Tarzia D. 91. Rene	17. Warleson (G) 2. Vitinho 5. Ferraresi N. 33. Monzon L. 13. Alex Telles (C) 75. Huguinho 6. Medina C. 8. Danilo Santos 10. Montoro A. 11. Matheus Martins 19. Arthur Cabral
Substitutes
26. Edenilson 70. Fabiano 23. Fabricio 83. Jamerson 18. Kauan 7. Marinho 98. Matheusinho 11. Osvaldo 8. Pochettino T. 79. Renato Kayzer 15. Walace 71. Yuri (G)	25. Allan 91. Andrade D. 26. Anthony 37. Barria K. 9. Danilo Pereira 88. Edenilson 12. Gabriel Batista (G) 7. Junior Santos 59. Kauan Toledo 4. Ponte M. 23. Rodriguez S. 77. Villalba Jaume L. M.
Coaches
Jair Ventura	Carvalho F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Huguinho 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Matheuzinho (Penalty Awarded),
28', Huguinho ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
29', Montoro A. 🟨,
45+3', Ramon 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
53', Matheus Martins ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
59', Ramon ↓, Jamerson ↑,
59', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Walace ↑,
61', Monzon L. 🟨,
65', Rene ↓, Renato Kayzer ↑,
65', Tarzia D. ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
73', Danilo Santos ↓, Andrade D. ↑,
73', Medina C. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
78', Matheuzinho ↓, Marinho ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 0.

Vitória is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Botafogo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vitória will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vitória: Anderson (Knee Injury) Camutanga (Broken Leg) Dudu (Back Injury) Edu (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nathan Mendes (Knee Injury) Ramos R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Botafogo: Allan (Muscle Injury) Justino G. (Yellow Cards) Kaio Pantaleao (Knee Injury) Marcal (Yellow Cards) Marcal (Red Card)

There are questionable in Vitória: Riccieli (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Botafogo: Barrera J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Vitoria	29	10	6	13	32:42	-10	36
13	Botafogo RJ	29	9	8	12	42:47	-5	35

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo RJ - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.16%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.08.26	Vitória Salvador - Athletico Paranaense	4:0 ✺
03.08.26	Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.26	Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras	0:4 ✺
26.07.26	Remo - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLLL
- Botafogo RJ
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.26	Cienciano - Botafogo RJ	6:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.08.26	Botafogo RJ - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
23.07.26	Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
16.07.26	Botafogo RJ - Santos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
23.07.26	Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador	0:0
09.11.25	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo RJ	0:0
16.07.25	Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador	0:0
23.11.24	Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador	1:1
11.07.24	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo RJ	0:1
Copa do Brasil
22.05.24	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo RJ	1:2
02.05.24	Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador	1:0

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