Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, SporTV 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV, TV Globo Internacional


	Vasco da Gama		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.75	6.5
	1.51	3.60	6.00
	1.68	3.45	4.9	Watch
	1.7	3.8	6.83
	1.57	3.71	6.79	Watch
	1.57	3.55	6.65
	1.59	3.67	6.62	Watch
	1.53	3.85	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.76)	3.67 ↑ (3.46)	6.31 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is -0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
59.5%

Draw
25.6%

Vitória Salvador
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

27%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

26.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 2. Rodriguez J. (C) 46. Cuesta C. 30. Robert Renan 6. Lucas Piton 88. Cauan Barros 23. Thiago Mendes 11. Gomez A. 83. Ramon Rique 9. Colidio F. 77. Spinelli C.	1. Lucas Arcanjo (C) 2. Britez E. 25. Caca 36. Luan Candido 13. Ramon 6. Emmanuel Martinez 95. Caique Goncalves 7. Marinho 88. Ze Vitor 10. Matheuzinho 79. Renato Kayzer
Substitutes
28. Adson 80. Andre B. 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 18. Hinestroza M. 43. Lucas Freitas 17. Moreira N. 29. Paulinho 96. Paulo Henrique 82. Riquelme Avellar 5. Sosa S. 3. Tche Tche	26. Edenilson 33. Erick 70. Fabiano 23. Fabricio 83. Jamerson 18. Kauan 20. Lucas Silva 98. Matheusinho 11. Osvaldo 91. Rene 15. Walace 71. Yuri (G)
Coaches
Emanuel P.	Jair Ventura

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Cauan Barros 🟥,
34', Spinelli C. ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
38', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marinho ↓, Erick ↑,
46', Caique Goncalves ↓, Rene ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Gomez A. ⚽, Colidio F. (A),
64', Ze Vitor ↓, Walace ↑,
64', Ramon ↓, Jamerson ↑,
71', Colidio F. ↓, David ↑,
71', Gomez A. ↓, Adson ↑,
78', Renato Kayzer ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
80', Thiago Mendes ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
80', Ramon Rique ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
83', Britez E. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vasco is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Vasco: Brenner (Injury) Jair (Injury) Mateus Carvalho (Knee Injury) Rojas J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Vitória: Anderson (Knee Injury) Camutanga (Broken Leg) Dudu (Back Injury) Edu (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nathan Mendes (Knee Injury) Ramos R. (Knee Injury) Riccieli (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Vitória: Baralhas (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.6:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Vitória Salvador - the odds 4.72 are the expected chance of winning is 19.82%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
23.08.26	Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama	4:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Vasco da Gama	1:4 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Santos	0:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Bahia - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLTT
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
23.08.26	Vitória Salvador - Bahia	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.08.26	Vitória Salvador - Athletico Paranaense	4:0 ✺
03.08.26	Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
16.07.26	Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama	1:0
05.10.25	Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador	4:3
10.05.25	Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama	2:1
01.09.24	Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama	0:1
12.05.24	Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador	2:1
Brazilian Serie B
10.11.21	Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador	0:3
07.08.21	Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama	0:1

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