The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América Mineiro 30.5%
Draw 31.4%
Criciúma 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
31.4%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
31%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.4%
50%
28.6%
América Mineiro - Criciúma Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - América MG (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. América MG (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. William (G) 42. Jhonny 45. Ricardo Silva (C) 26. Manoel 29. Dalbert 93. Jorge Jimenez 21. Eduardo Person 77. Segovia M. 23. Everton Brito 7. Gabriel Barros 17. Gonzalo Mastriani
2. Emerson Santos 8. Felipe Amaral 32. Filipe Dahora 52. Italo Brito (G) 39. Italo G. 22. Leo Alaba 30. Montes L. 61. Oliveira G. 20. Paulo Victor 4. Rafa Barcelos 9. Willian Bigode 10. Yago Souza
34. Bruno Alves 88. Caue Santos 77. Diego Goncalves 31. Hiago Alves 10. Jhonata Robert 21. Joao Carlos 6. Marcinho 9. Nicolas 70. Pedro Santos (G) 11. Romarinho 50. Thiaguinho
Coaches
Umberto Louzer
Eduardo Baptista
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Dalbert 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Cesar Martins ⚽, Gui Lobo (A),
41', Waguininho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Cesar Martins 🟨,
54', Cesar Martins ↓, Bruno Alves ↑,
57', Jorge Jimenez ↓, Felipe Amaral ↑,
58', Gabriel Barros ↓, Yago Souza ↑,
63', Waguininho ↓, Caue Santos ↑,
63', Otero R. ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
64', Segovia M. ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
64', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
79', Manoel ↓, Italo G. ↑,
84', Willean Lepo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
85', Eduardo ↓, Diego Goncalves ↑,
89', Gui Lobo 🟨,
90+5', Paulo Victor 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 1.
Recent form of América MG has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Criciúma is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Criciúma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in América MG: Cassio Meneses
(Knee Injury)
Gustavo
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Criciúma: Jean Irmer
(Injury)
Joao Carlos
(Inactive)
Octavio Henrique
(Muscle Injury)
Yuri Tanque
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in América MG: Heitor
(Injury)
Wesley
(Muscle Injury)
Yago Santos
(Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, América MG won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
Brazil
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Gonzalo Mastriani 
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