Match Info

Date: 25 January 2021, Monday


	Cuiabá		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.9	6.75
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.45	4.1	5.6
	1.52	4.33	6.28
	1.44	4	5.8
	1.44	4.4	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)	4.12 ↑ (3.74)	6.02 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
62.8%

Draw
22.1%

Aparecidense
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

19.4%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cuiabá's performance.

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Cuiabá - Aparecidense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cuiabá is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aparecidense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cuiabá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cuiabá is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
22.01.21	Cuiabá - Sampaio Corrêa	1:3 ✺
19.01.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Cuiabá	0:2 ✺
14.01.21	Cuiabá - Guaraní Asuncion	4:0 ✺
11.01.21	Ponte Preta - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
05.01.21	Cuiabá - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWTW
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Copa Verde
20.01.21	Aparecidense - Aquidauanense	7:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
13.01.21	Anápolis - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
09.01.21	Aparecidense - Mirassol	2:3 ✺
02.01.21	Mirassol - Aparecidense	2:1 ✺
27.12.20	Aparecidense - São Luiz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
21.02.18	Cuiabá - Aparecidense	3:1
Brazilian Copa Verde
13.04.16	Aparecidense - Cuiabá	0:1
23.03.16	Cuiabá - Aparecidense	1:3

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