Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday


	Mirassol		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.7	4.6
	1.56	3.65	5.5
	1.59	3.75	4.7
	1.63	3.82	5.49
	1.55	3.5	5
	1.59	3.8	5	Watch
	1.6	3.8	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)	3.72 ↓ (3.85)	5.01 ↓ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
57.4%

Draw
24.5%

Aparecidense
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

23.7%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

23.3%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Mirassol - Aparecidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Aparecidense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Play Offs) and 3).

Mirassol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Aparecidense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aparecidense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie C
19.09.22	Botafogo SP - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Mirassol - Volta Redonda	3:3 ✺
04.09.22	Volta Redonda - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
27.08.22	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
21.08.22	Aparecidense - Mirassol	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWWT
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
17.09.22	Aparecidense - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Botafogo SP - Aparecidense	2:3 ✺
04.09.22	Aparecidense - Botafogo SP	1:3 ✺
29.08.22	Volta Redonda - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
21.08.22	Aparecidense - Mirassol	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
21.08.22	Aparecidense - Mirassol	2:2
17.04.22	Aparecidense - Mirassol	0:1
Brazilian Serie D
09.01.21	Aparecidense - Mirassol	2:3
02.01.21	Mirassol - Aparecidense	2:1

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