The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cuiabá 37.3%
Draw 31.6%
Botafogo RJ 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
28.6%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
28.6%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cuiabá's performance.
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cuiabá that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.7%
35.7%
28.6%
Cuiabá - Botafogo RJ Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Botafogo will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 18% – 53.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Walter (C) 34. Bruno Alves 4. Marllon 33. Alan Empereur 2. Matheus Alexandre 5. Filipe Augusto 27. Denilson Alves 23. Ramon 7. Jonathan Cafu 9. Pitta I. 25. Clayson
12. John Victor (G) 4. Ponte M. 3. Lucas Halter 15. Bastos 21. Marcal 26. Gregore 17. Marlon Freitas (C) 25. Kaue 7. Luiz Henrique 33. Carlos Eduardo 11. Junior Santos
Substitutes
3. Allyson 97. Andre Luis 15. Dudu 11. Eliel 88. Fernando Sobral 8. Guilherme Madruga 77. Jadson 63. Juan Tavares 18. Lucas Fernandes 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 21. Railan 20. Rikelme
20. Barboza A. 66. Cuiabano 5. Danilo Barbosa 77. Diego Hernandez 1. Fernandez R. (G) 16. Hugo 30. Lucas Barreto (G) 8. Patrick de Paula 70. Romero O. 44. Segovia L. 9. Tiquinho Soares 67. Yarlen
Coaches
Petit
Artur Jorge
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Kaue ⚽, Carlos Eduardo (A),
27', Alan Empereur 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Pitta I. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Matheus Alexandre ↓, Railan ↑,
56', Filipe Augusto 🟨,
64', Marcal ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
64', Kaue ↓, Danilo Barbosa ↑,
64', Gregore ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
64', Clayson ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
71', Luiz Henrique ↓, Romero O. ↑,
72', Romero O. 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Ponte M. ⚽,
78', Denilson Alves ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
78', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Jadson ↑,
83', Alan Empereur ↓, Lucas Fernandes ↑,
85', Andre Luis 🟨,
86', Junior Santos ↓, Diego Hernandez ↑,
90+1', Railan 🟨,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 3.
Cuiabá is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Botafogo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Cuiabá: Deyverson
(Injury)
Gimenez L.
(Red Card)
Max Alves
(Injury)
There will not play in Botafogo: Jeffinho
(Injury)
Matheus Nascimento
(Injury)
Philipe Sampaio
(Injury)
Rafael
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.
Belarus
Brazil
Italy
Peru
Portugal
Russia
Ukraine
World
Watch
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Walter (C) 
Pitta I. 
Ponte M. 
Bastos 
Dudu 
Barboza A. 
Segovia L. 
Petit 
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