The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Criciúma 31.3%
Draw 29.2%
Botafogo RJ 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.5%
27.6%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.2%
27.2%
46.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Criciúma that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
3.8%
26.9%
69.2%
Criciúma - Botafogo RJ Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Botafogo will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 52.6% – 89%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 13. Jonathan 3. Rodrigo (C) 29. Figueiredo T. 22. Marcelo Hermes 88. Gustavo Barreto 6. Ronald Lopes 17. Matheusinho 11. Bolasie Y. 23. Citadin E. 14. Trauco M.
12. John Victor (G) 4. Ponte M. 15. Bastos 20. Barboza A. 66. Cuiabano 26. Gregore 6. Tche Tche (C) 70. Romero O. 7. Luiz Henrique 9. Tiquinho Soares 11. Junior Santos
Substitutes
25. Alisson (G) 2. Allano 45. Arthur Caike 30. Barcia M. 27. Claudinho 15. Eliedson 41. Erick Garcia 7. Fellipe Mateus 5. Higor Meritao 21. Joao Carlos 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 33. Walisson Maia
33. Carlos Eduardo 5. Danilo Barbosa 77. Diego Hernandez 1. Fernandez R. (G) 16. Hugo 25. Kaue 3. Lucas Halter 21. Marcal 17. Marlon Freitas 8. Patrick de Paula 22. Suarez D. 67. Yarlen
Coaches
Claudio Tencati
Artur Jorge
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Gustavo Barreto ⚽, Ronald Lopes (A),
21', Barboza A. 🟨,
43', Figueiredo T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ponte M. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
46', Barboza A. ↓, Lucas Halter ↑,
46', Luiz Henrique ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Lucas Halter ⚽, Romero O. (A),
56', Bolasie Y. ↓, Allano ↑,
56', Citadin E. ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
57', Cuiabano ↓, Hugo ↑,
64', Gregore 🟨,
67', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Diego Hernandez ↑,
70', Romero O. 🟨,
72', Ronald Lopes ↓, Marquinhos Gabriel ↑,
76', Matheusinho ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
76', Jonathan ↓, Claudinho ↑,
79', Fellipe Mateus 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Arthur Caike ⚽, Claudinho (A),
90+4', Allano 🟨,
90+8', Gustavo 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 1.
Criciúma is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Botafogo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Botafogo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Botafogo will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Criciúma: Felipe Vizeu
(Injury)
Fellipe Mateus
(Injury)
There will not play in Botafogo: Jeffinho
(Injury)
Matheus Nascimento
(Injury)
Rafael
(Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Brazil
Peru
Portugal
Ukraine
World
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Gustavo (G) 
Figueiredo T. 
Bolasie Y. 
Citadin E. 
Trauco M. 
Ponte M. 
Bastos 
Barboza A. 
Romero O. 
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