The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Corinthians 46.4%
Draw 30%
Cuiabá 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.1%
26.1%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
27.9%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.
Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cuiabá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
13.6%
13.6%
Corinthians - Cuiabá Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 58% – 94.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Matheus Donelli (G) 35. Leo Mana 25. Caca 4. Caetano 46. Hugo 14. Raniele (C) 27. Breno Bidon 77. Igor Coronado 10. Garro R. 36. Wesley 9. Yuri Alberto
1. Walter (C) 2. Matheus Alexandre 4. Marllon 33. Alan Empereur 23. Ramon 30. Lucas Mineiro 5. Filipe Augusto 27. Denilson Alves 7. Jonathan Cafu 9. Pitta I. 25. Clayson
Substitutes
29. Arthur Sousa 40. Felipe Longo (G) 44. Gabriel Moscardo 17. Giovane 26. Guilherme Biro 13. Gustavo Henrique 19. Gustavo Mosquito 31. Kayke 30. Matheus Araujo 21. Matheus Bidu 2. Matheus Franca 20. Pedro Raul
3. Allyson 97. Andre Luis 34. Bruno Alves 22. Derik Lacerda 11. Eliel 88. Fernando Sobral 19. Gimenez L. 8. Guilherme Madruga 18. Lucas Fernandes 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 21. Railan 20. Rikelme
Coaches
Toni Oliveira
Petit
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Marllon ⚽,
20', Alan Empereur 🟨,
22', Filipe Augusto 🟨,
32', Leo Mana 🟨,
35', Caetano ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
45+6', Clayson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Leo Mana ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
56', Caca 🟨,
57', Pitta I. (Pen),
60', Clayson ↓, Derik Lacerda ↑,
60', Filipe Augusto ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
64', Matheus Franca 🟨,
65', Wesley ↓, Gustavo Mosquito ↑,
78', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Eliel ↑,
81', Denilson Alves ↓, Lucas Fernandes ↑,
83', Igor Coronado ↓, Kayke ↑,
83', Hugo ↓, Matheus Bidu ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Matheus Bidu ⚽,
90', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
90+8', Pitta I. ↓, Bruno Alves ↑,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 3.
Corinthians is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Cuiabá is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Cuiabá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Corinthians is a favorite.
There will not play in Corinthians: Maycon
(Knee Injury)
Ruan Oliveira
(Injury)
There will not play in Cuiabá: Deyverson
(Injury)
Gabriel
(Injury)
There are questionable in Corinthians: Pedro Henrique
(Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Corinthians won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
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Igor Coronado 
Garro R. 
Pitta I. 
Toni Oliveira 
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