Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - First stage - Round 11

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Zambrano R. (Ecu)


	Cumbayá		Deportivo Macará

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.1	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3	1.9
	3.75	3.25	1.95	Watch
	4.07	3.17	2.04
	4.51	3.07	1.98
	3.75	3.2	1.91
	4.04	3.27	1.94	Watch
	4.15	3.05	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↓ (4.32)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	1.95 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
22.9%

Draw
29.5%

Deportivo Macará
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

28.2%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

27.2%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Cumbayá - Deportivo Macará Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. San Juan F. (G) 18. Almagro A. 16. Gustavino L. 12. Pluas W. 14. Suarez D. 4. Paredes J. 22. Serpa T. 10. Tapia R. 25. Caicedo Piyajo L. D. 19. Diaz M. 17. Carabali E.	1. Correa C. (G) 50. Angulo C. 18. Lora R. 14. Marrufo J. 31. Mina G. 11. Valdez J. 5. Alvarez L. 15. Romero E. (C) 70. Morales J. 25. Porozo D. 9. Pons F.
Substitutes
37. Estacio G. 1. Lemos A. (G) 9. Magoia A. 15. Ontivero L. 60. Ortiz D. 27. Ortiz J. 28. Suarez F. 8. Valencia M. 32. Vides B.	8. Delgado E. 7. Escobar J. 4. Jimenez J. 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 16. Ramos P. 6. Tello M. 17. Valencia K. 20. Viera M. 12. Villafuerte J. (G)
Coaches
Araujo N.	Pallares A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Pons F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tapia R. ↓, Vides B. ↑,
51', Paredes J. 🟨,
54', Serpa T. 🟨,
56', Romero E. 🟨,
67', Almagro A. ↓, Estacio G. ↑,
69', Valdez J. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
69', Porozo D. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
74', Carabali E. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
74', Serpa T. ↓, Ontivero L. ↑,
77', Marrufo J. 🟨,
78', 1 - 0, Ontivero L. ⚽,
79', Ontivero L. 🟨,
80', Angulo C. 🟨,
83', Angulo C. ↓, Valencia K. ↑,
86', Mina G. 🟨,
90', Morales J. 🟥,
90+1', Marrufo J. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
90+1', Mina G. ↓, Ramos P. ↑,
90+9', Ontivero L. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).

Cumbayá is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Macará is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Macará is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cumbayá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Cumbayá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.04.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Cumbayá - Libertad Loja	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Emelec - Cumbayá	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	SD Aucas - Cumbayá	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Cumbayá - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLW
- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.04.24	Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Delfín - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Deportivo Macará - Orense	0:0 ✺
08.04.24	Imbabura - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	Deportivo Macará - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.08.22	Cumbayá - Deportivo Macará	1:0
04.04.22	Deportivo Macará - Cumbayá	0:0

Upcoming Matches