Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 7

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Deportivo Macará		SD Aucas

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.25	3	2.87
	2.35	3	2.98	Watch
	2.55	3.15	3.24
	2.4	2.99	3.2	Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.9
	2.41	3	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.39)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)	3.02 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Macará
38.9%

Draw
30.6%

SD Aucas
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

29%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 13. Ayala M. 16. Cazares J. 20. Viera M. 15. Tello M. 10. Miranda M. 7. Paz F. 9. Posse F.	13. Piedra H. (G) 37. Zova A. 16. Gustavino L. 3. Ontaneda J. (C) 2. Morales S. 6. Spina A. L. 29. Arroyo L. 21. Guzman P. 18. Mena A. 57. Vera M. 7. Miranda B.
Substitutes
8. Blanc G. 50. Caicedo C. 77. Chala J. 30. Chamba T. 12. Cuero D. (G) 5. Estacio J. 22. Ferro L. 4. Jimenez J. 26. Medranda M. 27. Mohor J. 17. Zambrano J.	52. Caicedo J. 1. Chaves I. (G) 20. Espinosa D. S. 91. Luna D. 55. Olaya V. 10. Preciado E. 14. Quinonez R. 5. Serpa T. 28. Tapiero S.
Coaches
Sanguinetti G.	Araujo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Ayala M. 🟨,
59', Cazares J. ↓, Blanc G. ↑,
59', Miranda M. ↓, Chamba T. ↑,
67', Posse F. ↓, Ferro L. ↑,
67', Tello M. ↓, Estacio J. ↑,
74', Vera M. ↓, Quinonez R. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Morales S. ⚽, Guzman P. (A),
77', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
83', Viera M. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
90', Guzman P. ↓, Serpa T. ↑,
90', Miranda B. ↓, Preciado E. ↑,
90+4', Mena A. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3.

Macará is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aucas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Macará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Macará could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Macará won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macara	31	16	6	9	43:34	9	54
4	Aucas	31	14	8	9	34:30	4	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Deportivo Macará - Delfín	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Deportivo Macará - Técnico Universitario	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	Orense - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TWTTW
- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.03.26	SD Aucas - Orense	3:2 ✺
19.03.26	SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Guayaquil City - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.12.25	SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará	0:2
05.10.25	Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas	3:2
06.07.25	SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará	1:4
09.03.25	Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas	1:1
20.10.24	SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará	3:1
28.04.24	Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas	0:2
20.08.22	Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas	1:1

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