Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - First stage - Round 8

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio George Capwell (Guayaquil)

Referee: Orbe C. (Ecu)


	Emelec		Cumbayá

	1	X	2
	1.17	6.5	15	Watch
	1.16	6	13.5
	1.17	6	17	Watch
	1.19	6.6	19
	1.19	6.6	14.29
	1.12	6.5	17
	1.16	6.91	16.5	Watch
	1.18	6.2	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.29)	6.41 ↑ (5.62)	15.91 ↑ (8.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emelec
79.7%

Draw
14.5%

Cumbayá
5.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

16.6%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emelec's performance.

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cumbayá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Emelec - Cumbayá Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ortiz P. (G) 14. Caicedo R. 27. Leon F. 2. Leguizamon A. (C) 15. Cortez G. 5. Erbes C. 8. Meli M. 11. Rivero R. 30. Chamba T. 28. Solis M. 17. Ayovi J.	23. San Juan F. (G) 16. Gustavino L. 12. Pluas W. 14. Suarez D. (C) 2. Delgado F. 54. Vides B. 22. Serpa T. 5. Altuna A. 8. Valencia M. 19. Diaz M. 17. Carabali E.
Substitutes
55. Borja R. 24. Carabali B. 7. Corozo W. 25. Garces R. 21. Gonzalez A. 13. Jhon Sanchez 1. Napa G. (G) 88. Quinonez J. 10. Ricaurte A. 36. Valencia C. 31. Vera D.	18. Almagro A. 66. Angulo D. 25. Caicedo Piyajo L. D. 33. Cardenas Salazar O. B. (G) 20. Gruezo M. 9. Magoia A. 60. Ortiz D. 29. Rivera K. 10. Tapia R.
Coaches
Torres H.	Araujo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Carabali E. 🟨,
24', Leguizamon A. 🟨,
41', Rivero R. ↓, Carabali B. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Caicedo R. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Ayovi J. ⚽,
55', Pluas W. 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Carabali B. ⚽, Leon F. (A),
61', Diaz M. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
61', Delgado F. ↓, Tapia R. ↑,
69', Carabali E. ↓, Magoia A. ↑,
69', Valencia M. ↓, Caicedo Piyajo L. D. ↑,
76', Solis M. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
76', Meli M. ↓, Garces R. ↑,
79', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
85', Serpa T. 🟨,
86', Vides B. ↓, Angulo D. ↑,
89', Chamba T. ↓, Valencia C. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 10).

Emelec is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Cumbayá is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Emelec is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Emelec won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Emelec won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.04.24	Técnico Universitario - Emelec	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Emelec - Independiente del Valle	0:0 ✺
25.03.24	Orense - Emelec	1:1 ✺
21.03.24	Emelec - Delfín	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	El Nacional - Emelec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTTWW
- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.04.24	SD Aucas - Cumbayá	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Cumbayá - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Imbabura - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
19.03.24	Cumbayá - Mushuc Runa	2:1 ✺
15.03.24	Independiente del Valle - Cumbayá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.10.23	Emelec - Cumbayá	3:0
07.05.23	Cumbayá - Emelec	0:0
02.09.22	Emelec - Cumbayá	1:0
21.04.22	Cumbayá - Emelec	1:1

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