The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cumbayá 10%
Draw 18.3%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 71.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.2%
24%
56.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.7%
23.4%
58.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cumbayá's form might have worsened.
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica del Ecuador's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cumbayá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Cumbayá - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions
Users Predictions:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador will win
(14 of 14 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lemos A. (G) 2. Delgado F. 12. Pluas W. 14. Suarez D. 37. Estacio G. 4. Paredes J. (C) 25. Caicedo Piyajo L. D. 18. Almagro A. 8. Valencia M. 19. Diaz M. 7. Padilla J.
22. Romo R. (G) 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 15. Vallecilla G. 37. Grillo F. 18. Loor L. 4. Minda K. 10. Martinez F. (C) 14. Alvarado A. 21. Nieto L. 30. Diaz I. 26. Palacios B.
Substitutes
5. Altuna A. 54. Caicedo B. 33. Cardenas Salazar O. B. (G) 16. Gustavino L. 27. Ortiz J. 29. Rivera K. 32. Vides B.
29. Anangono G. 20. Castillo Saa J. L. 8. Clavijo E. 28. Diaz M. 9. Fajardo J. 52. Moreno J. 25. Mosquera I. 19. Pierre Chala J. 3. Quinonez J. 7. Rodriguez A. 1. Valencia E. (G) 11. Vivar J.
Coaches
Chamorro Morales D. A.
Celico J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Diaz I. ⚽,
10', Grillo F. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Almagro A. ⚽, Valencia M. (A),
39', Vallecilla G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
62', Nieto L. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
62', Loor L. ↓, Castillo Saa J. L. ↑,
62', Alvarado A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
63', Padilla J. ↓, Vides B. ↑,
72', Caicedo Piyajo L. D. ↓, Gustavino L. ↑,
72', Almagro A. ↓, Rivera K. ↑,
73', Diaz M. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
80', Valencia M. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
82', Martinez F. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 3).
Cumbayá is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Universidad Católica is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Universidad Católica is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cumbayá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.2:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Cumbayá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
Watch
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Lemos A. (G) 
Romo R. (G) 
Grillo F. 
Diaz I. 
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