The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente del Valle 53.1%
Draw 25.6%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 21.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.6%
23.9%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
22.9%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 4. Espinoza J. 14. Carabajal M. (C) 15. Cortez G. 8. Ochoa Y. 16. Briones R. 11. Perello M. 18. Gongora S. 32. Mendez J. 99. Reasco D. 23. Viacava J.
12. Lara J. (G) 29. Anangono G. 33. Canga L. 3. Manriquez J. 30. Mejia E. 9. Londono A. 8. Clavijo E. (C) 5. Cacciabue J. 32. Alonso M. 7. Fajardo J. 28. Diaz M.
Substitutes
6. Alcivar J. 9. Gonzalez C. 19. Loor L. 31. Pata E. 70. Peralta M. (G) 28. Quintana H. 56. Quintero E. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 5. Schunke R. 10. Sornoza J. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A.
1. Cueva L. (G) 11. Evans J. 10. Martinez F. 37. Medina C. 14. Mina J. 15. Moreno L. 24. Nazareno D. 18. Palacios B. 23. Rodriguez A. 19. Sevillano M. 17. Troya R. 26. Yanez S.
Coaches
Papa J.
Martinez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Alonso M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Clavijo E. 🟨,
51', Ochoa Y. 🟨,
63', Fajardo J. 🟨,
63', Ochoa Y. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
64', Reasco D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
72', Cacciabue J. 🟨,
76', Briones R. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
76', Gongora S. ↓, Pata E. ↑,
82', Alonso M. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
82', Cacciabue J. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
87', Perello M. ↓, Quintero E. ↑,
90+3', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
90+3', Clavijo E. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
Ind del Valle is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Uni Católica have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Ind del Valle has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Ind del Valle is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Ind del Valle has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:27 (averaging 1.9:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ind del Valle against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 14:17 goals (averaging 1.6:1.9 per game).