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Current Win Probability
Independiente del Valle 53.1%
Draw 24.4%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
23.8%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.1%
22.8%
17.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Ind del Valle (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 4. Espinoza J. 5. Schunke R. (C) 23. Viacava J. 15. Cortez G. 32. Mendez J. 50. Angulo J. 8. Ochoa Y. 11. Perello M. 99. Reasco D. 16. Briones R.
12. Lara J. (G) 24. Nazareno D. 33. Canga L. 4. Jhon Chancellor 30. Mejia E. 8. Clavijo E. 10. Martinez F. (C) 9. Londono A. 28. Diaz M. 32. Alonso M. 7. Fajardo J.
Substitutes
14. Carabajal M. 9. Gonzalez C. 19. Loor L. 31. Pata E. 70. Peralta M. (G) 28. Quintana H. 57. Quintero H. 17. Rodriguez A. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 10. Sornoza J. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A.
29. Anangono G. 5. Cacciabue J. 1. Cueva L. (G) 11. Evans J. 37. Medina C. 14. Mina J. 15. Moreno L. 18. Palacios B. 23. Rodriguez A. 19. Sevillano M. 44. Valencia E. 26. Yanez S.
Coaches
Papa J.
Martinez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Schunke R. ↓, Carabajal M. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Briones R. ⚽, Angulo J. (A),
56', 2 - 0, Angulo J. ⚽, Reasco D. (A),
61', 2 - 1, Alonso M. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
62', 2 - 2, Londono A. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),
62', Clavijo E. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
66', Martinez F. 🟨,
67', Reasco D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
67', Ochoa Y. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
67', Perello M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
76', Briones R. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
78', Alonso M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
83', Mejia E. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
90', Mendez J. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
Ind del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
Ind del Valle is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Uni Católica is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ind del Valle is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Ind del Valle will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 1.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.5:1.9).
Standings
Championship Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Ind. del Valle
30
24
2
4
73:33
40
74
3
U. Catolica
31
14
9
8
52:29
23
51
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente del Valle - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.62%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
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Quintana A. (G) 
Espinoza J. 
Schunke R. (C) 
Viacava J. 
Jhon Chancellor 
Londono A. 
Gonzalez C. 
Evans J. 
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