Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 7

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)


	Cumbayá		Imbabura

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.23	3.32	3.19
	2.05	3.34	3.45	Watch
	2.28	3.2	2.88	Watch
	1.88	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.93)	3.28 (3.28)	3.23 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
43.5%

Draw
28%

Imbabura
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cumbayá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Cumbayá - Imbabura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, ⚽,
14', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cumbayá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cumbayá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cumbayá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
22.10.25	Cumbayá - Atlético Vinotinto	0:0 ✺
15.10.25	22 de Julio - Cumbayá	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Cumbayá - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Cumbayá	0:1 ✺
16.09.25	Cumbayá - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWTWW
- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
15.10.25	Imbabura - Vargas Torres	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Imbabura	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Imbabura - 22 de Julio	1:1 ✺
17.09.25	Vargas Torres - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
10.09.25	Imbabura - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
10.09.25	Imbabura - Cumbayá	0:0
25.06.25	Imbabura - Cumbayá	0:1
15.04.25	Cumbayá - Imbabura	2:2
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.09.24	Cumbayá - Imbabura	1:2
23.03.24	Imbabura - Cumbayá	0:0

Cumbayá - Imbabura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide