Match Info

Date: 7 July 2021, Wednesday


	Cumbayá		América de Quito

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	2.95
	2.55	2.6	3.1
	2.42	2.7	3.1
	2.53	2.85	3.25
	2.38	2.7	3.1
	2.47	2.86	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.02)	2.77 ↓ (3.01)	3.08 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
37.2%

Draw
33.1%

América de Quito
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

31%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

24%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cumbayá's form might have worsened.

América de Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting América de Quito's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+22.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cumbayá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for América de Quito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cumbayá - América de Quito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Cumbayá is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches América de Quito is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

América de Quito could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cumbayá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cumbayá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
28.06.21	Gualaceo - Cumbayá	0:1 ✺
24.06.21	Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors	2:0 ✺
20.06.21	Cumbayá - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
16.06.21	Atlético Porteño - Cumbayá	1:2 ✺
12.06.21	Cumbayá - LDU Portoviejo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWT
- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
04.07.21	América de Quito - Chacaritas	1:1 ✺
28.06.21	El Nacional - América de Quito	1:0 ✺
24.06.21	América de Quito - Gualaceo	0:1 ✺
19.06.21	Búhos ULVR - América de Quito	0:2 ✺
16.06.21	América de Quito - Independiente Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
09.06.21	América de Quito - Cumbayá	2:1
15.04.21	Cumbayá - América de Quito	1:0

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