Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)


	Cumbayá		Mushuc Runa

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.38
	2.85	3	2.25
	2.95	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.09	3.19	2.46
	3.09	3.19	2.46
	2.88	3.2	2.25
	2.92	3.31	2.35	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.49)	3.18 ↓ (3.4)	2.33 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
30.8%

Draw
29.3%

Mushuc Runa
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

27.3%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mushuc Runa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	35.3%	29.4%

Cumbayá - Mushuc Runa Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cumbayá: 12.6% – 58%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. San Juan F. (G) 16. Gustavino L. 28. Suarez F. 14. Suarez D. 37. Estacio G. 19. Diaz M. 4. Paredes J. 5. Altuna A. (C) 25. Caicedo Piyajo L. D. 18. Almagro A. 9. Magoia A.	92. Pabon W. (G) 25. Montano M. 29. Quintero D. (C) 3. Parrales J. 5. Zambrano R. 14. Tapiero S. 27. Verges J. 26. Estacio J. 11. Alonso M. 9. Ledesma D. 32. Gonzalez S.
Substitutes
66. Angulo D. 17. Carabali E. 2. Delgado F. 3. Hurtado K. 1. Lemos A. (G) 27. Ortiz J. 22. Serpa T. 10. Tapia R. 8. Valencia M.	6. Ayala M. 7. Castro S. 10. Delgado B. 37. Mancilla Quinones J. L. 21. Ocles W. 2. Randazzo J. 20. Segura D. 1. Tapia C. (G) 8. Zambrano A.
Coaches
Araujo N.	Salas R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Estacio G. ↓, Tapia R. ↑,
54', Gustavino L. 🟨,
61', Caicedo Piyajo L. D. ↓, Serpa T. ↑,
66', Magoia A. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
67', Carabali E. ⚽, Suarez D. (A),
72', Parrales J. 🟨,
74', Diaz M. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
78', Montano M. ↓, Randazzo J. ↑,
78', Zambrano R. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
78', Alonso M. ↓, Segura D. ↑,
90+4', Tapia R. 🟨,
90+5', Parrales J. (Pen),
90+7', Gonzalez S. ⚽,
90+12', Carabali E. (Pen),

Preview

Mushuc Runa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mushuc Runa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cumbayá won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Cumbayá won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.03.24	Independiente del Valle - Cumbayá	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Cumbayá - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
03.03.24	Técnico Universitario - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Libertad Loja - Cumbayá	3:1 ✺
26.11.23	Cumbayá - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.03.24	Mushuc Runa - Imbabura	3:0 ✺
08.03.24	Emelec - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.09.23	Mushuc Runa - Cumbayá	1:1
30.04.23	Cumbayá - Mushuc Runa	1:1
31.07.22	Cumbayá - Mushuc Runa	1:1
Ecuadorian Copa
20.07.22	Mushuc Runa - Cumbayá	1:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.03.22	Mushuc Runa - Cumbayá	4:2

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