Match Info

Serie B - Round 8

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Cumbayá		San Antonio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.4	3.12	2.99
	2.31	3.14	3.19	Watch
	2	3	3.6
	2.29	3.01	3.22	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.77)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	3.2 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
41.3%

Draw
29.9%

San Antonio
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

28.8%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

28.2%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cumbayá's form might have worsened.

San Antonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Antonio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cumbayá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Antonio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Cumbayá - San Antonio Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). San Antonio will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cumbayá will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Quintero O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cumbayá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cumbayá will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
30.04.25	Cumbayá - Gualaceo	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	9 de Octubre - Cumbayá	1:2 ✺
15.04.25	Cumbayá - Imbabura	2:2 ✺
09.04.25	Leones del Norte - Cumbayá	1:1 ✺
01.04.25	Cumbayá - 22 de Julio	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTTW
- San Antonio Ibarra FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
29.04.25	San Antonio - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Gualaceo - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	San Antonio - 22 de Julio	0:1 ✺
09.04.25	Chacaritas - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
01.04.25	San Antonio - Atlético Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLTW

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