Match Info

Serie B - Round 10

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jorge Andrade (Azogues)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports


	Gualaceo		San Antonio

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.88	3.35
	2.16	2.87	3.57
	2.23	2.97	3.51	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.4
	2.16	2.82	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.9)	2.87 ↓ (3.3)	3.47 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
42%

Draw
31.7%

San Antonio
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

28.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

28%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gualaceo's form might have worsened.

San Antonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gualaceo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Gualaceo - San Antonio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - San Antonio (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Antonio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
85', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 1.

Gualaceo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Antonio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

San Antonio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gualaceo is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gualaceo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	San Antonio	29	7	12	10	27:34	-7	33

Last Results with these Odds

Gualaceo - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.04%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
07.05.26	Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Gualaceo - El Nacional	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	22 de Julio - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Gualaceo - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
23.04.26	Deportivo Quito - Gualaceo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWTWW
- San Antonio Ibarra FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
07.05.26	San Antonio - Vinotinto	1:1 ✺
28.04.26	San Antonio - Atlético Rojiblanco	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - San Antonio	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	San Antonio - Cuenca Juniors	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	LDU Portoviejo - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
26.10.25	San Antonio - Gualaceo	3:0
25.09.25	Gualaceo - San Antonio	2:2
01.07.25	San Antonio - Gualaceo	2:2
23.04.25	Gualaceo - San Antonio	1:0
23.10.24	San Antonio - Gualaceo	1:0
05.09.24	Gualaceo - San Antonio	0:1
03.07.24	Gualaceo - San Antonio	0:1

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