Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Cumbayá		Vargas Torres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	3.5	4.75
	1.68	3.56	5.23
	1.82	2.82	5.79	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.68	3.35	4.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.15)	3.35 ↑ (3.07)	5.13 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
54.7%

Draw
27.4%

Vargas Torres
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

30.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

29.2%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cumbayá's performance.

Vargas Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vargas Torres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cumbayá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vargas Torres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cumbayá - Vargas Torres Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cumbayá (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Cumbayá is Serie B (Relegation Group )

Vargas Torres is Serie B (Relegation Group )

Cumbayá is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vargas Torres has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cumbayá is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Cumbayá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
17.08.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Cumbayá	4:0 ✺
10.08.25	Cumbayá - Chacaritas	1:3 ✺
30.07.25	Guayaquil City - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
22.07.25	Cumbayá - Vargas Torres	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	San Antonio - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- CSD Vargas Torres
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.08.25	Guayaquil City - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Vargas Torres - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
29.07.25	San Antonio - Vargas Torres	1:0 ✺
22.07.25	Cumbayá - Vargas Torres	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Vargas Torres - Gualaceo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
22.07.25	Cumbayá - Vargas Torres	2:1
14.05.25	Vargas Torres - Cumbayá	4:0

Cumbayá - Vargas Torres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide