Match Info

Serie B - Round 22

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt (Guayaquil)


	Guayaquil City		Vargas Torres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.95
	1.63	3.63	5.42
	2.75	3.04	2.61	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.33
	1.62	3.5	5.12
	1.33	4.6	7.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.41)	3.57 ↓ (4.5)	5.01 ↓ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guayaquil City
53.9%

Draw
26.9%

Vargas Torres
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

20.3%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

19.3%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guayaquil City's form might have worsened.

Vargas Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guayaquil City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vargas Torres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guayaquil City - Vargas Torres Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guayaquil City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

Guayaquil City is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )

Vargas Torres is Serie B (Relegation Group )

Guayaquil City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vargas Torres's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vargas Torres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Guayaquil City is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Guayaquil City will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.08.25	Gualaceo - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
06.08.25	Guayaquil City - Mushuc Runa	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
30.07.25	Guayaquil City - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
23.07.25	Leones del Norte - Guayaquil City	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Guayaquil City - Imbabura	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWLW
- CSD Vargas Torres
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.08.25	Vargas Torres - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
29.07.25	San Antonio - Vargas Torres	1:0 ✺
22.07.25	Cumbayá - Vargas Torres	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Vargas Torres - Gualaceo	3:0 ✺
10.07.25	9 de Octubre - Vargas Torres	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
20.03.25	Vargas Torres - Guayaquil City	1:0
19.09.24	Vargas Torres - Guayaquil City	1:1
01.08.24	Guayaquil City - Vargas Torres	3:0
11.06.24	Guayaquil City - Vargas Torres	1:0
23.04.24	Vargas Torres - Guayaquil City	2:1

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