Match Info

Serie B - Round 20

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	San Antonio		Vargas Torres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.25	4.6
	1.62	3.25	5.15
	1.65	3.31	5.85
	1.66	3.29	5.90	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.62	3.26	5.7
	1.95	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.95)	3.27 ↑ (3.1)	4.94 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio
53.6%

Draw
28%

Vargas Torres
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

27%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Antonio's performance.

Vargas Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vargas Torres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Antonio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vargas Torres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

San Antonio - Vargas Torres Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Antonio will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Fiorelli F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, San Antonio is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio Ibarra FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.07.25	9 de Octubre - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
15.07.25	San Antonio - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
08.07.25	Imbabura - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
01.07.25	San Antonio - Gualaceo	2:2 ✺
24.06.25	22 de Julio - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTTW
- CSD Vargas Torres
Ecuadorian Serie B
22.07.25	Cumbayá - Vargas Torres	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Vargas Torres - Gualaceo	3:0 ✺
10.07.25	9 de Octubre - Vargas Torres	1:1 ✺
03.07.25	Vargas Torres - Imbabura	1:0 ✺
24.06.25	Leones del Norte - Vargas Torres	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
20.05.25	Vargas Torres - San Antonio	1:2
29.10.24	Vargas Torres - San Antonio	1:1
09.07.24	San Antonio - Vargas Torres	0:0
19.06.24	Vargas Torres - San Antonio	1:1
02.05.24	San Antonio - Vargas Torres	2:2

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