Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 6

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario La Granja (Curicó)


	Curicó Unido		Deportes Copiapó

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.88
	2.36	3.25	2.94
	2.34	3.32	2.93	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.8
	2.31	3.13	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.27)	3.14 ↓ (3.26)	2.89 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curicó Unido
39%

Draw
29.2%

Deportes Copiapó
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Deportes Copiapó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Curicó Unido - Deportes Copiapó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tello D. (G) 3. Sarria G. 4. Colombo R. 19. de La Fuente R. 39. Gomez J. 8. Romo J. 15. Sanhueza H. 28. Ibarra H. 7. Fernandez N. 9. Benegas L. 25. Lopes Acevedo M.	22. Temperini N. (G) 4. Ortiz A. 5. Torres F. 15. Santander J. 18. Kimura N. 20. Filla M. 6. Zamorano C. 8. Rios A. 10. Ledezma I. 9. Palacios L. 27. Lopez M.
Substitutes
13. Bustamante C. 5. Guisolfo B. 17. Inostroza B. 14. Medina C. 21. Ormeno E. 10. Retamales J. 1. Vergara T. (G)	28. Espoz F. 21. Fernandez E. 1. Leyton R. (G) 24. Orellana R. 26. Perez G. 7. Ross C. 3. Suarez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Benegas L. 🟨,
23', Rios A. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Palacios L. ⚽,
27', Lopes Acevedo M. ↓, Inostroza B. ↑,
34', Zamorano C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Inostroza B. ↓, Bustamante C. ↑,
52', Ledezma I. ↓, Suarez N. ↑,
66', Lopez M. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
73', Gomez J. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
78', Colombo R. ↓, Retamales J. ↑,
78', Ibarra H. ↓, Ormeno E. ↑,
90', Filla M. ↓, Ross C. ↑,
90', Kimura N. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
90', Palacios L. ↓, Orellana R. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Benegas L. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
90+7', Torres F. 🟨,
90+7', Perez G. 🟨,
90+8', Temperini N. 🟨,
90+8', Bustamante C. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Curicó Unido has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Curicó Unido won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Copiapo	26	10	7	9	40:39	1	37
13	Curico Unido	26	6	9	11	22:39	-17	24

Last Results with these Odds

Curicó Unido - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.93%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
21.03.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Curicó Unido	4:2 ✺
15.03.26	Curicó Unido - Rangers de Talca	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Cobreloa - Curicó Unido	5:1 ✺
02.03.26	San Luis de Quillota - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.02.26	Colchagua - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTT
- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.03.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Iquique	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Copiapó	2:2 ✺
09.03.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Temuco	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Deportes Copiapó - Rangers de Talca	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Copiapó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.07.25	Deportes Copiapó - Curicó Unido	1:1
02.03.25	Curicó Unido - Deportes Copiapó	1:1
Chilean Primera Division
06.08.23	Deportes Copiapó - Curicó Unido	1:1
16.02.23	Curicó Unido - Deportes Copiapó	1:2
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
09.04.17	Deportes Copiapó - Curicó Unido	0:0
02.10.16	Curicó Unido - Deportes Copiapó	1:0
06.02.16	Deportes Copiapó - Curicó Unido	0:1

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