Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Curicó Unido		Everton

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.2
	3.15	3	2.17
	3.4	2.95	2.24
	3.53	3.13	2.32
	3.4	3	2.2
	3.38	3.18	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.52)	3.04 ↓ (3.17)	2.22 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curicó Unido
27.7%

Draw
30.5%

Everton
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

20.5%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Curicó Unido's form might have worsened.

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Everton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Everton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Curicó Unido - Everton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Copa Sudamericana and 11).

Curicó Unido is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Everton is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Everton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Curicó Unido won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Curicó Unido won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curicó Unido
Chilean Primera Division
26.09.20	Audax Italiano - Curicó Unido	0:0 ✺
15.09.20	Curicó Unido - Coquimbo Unido	2:1 ✺
09.09.20	Cobresal - Curicó Unido	4:0 ✺
05.09.20	Santiago Wanderers - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
30.08.20	Curicó Unido - Unión La Calera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLLL
- Everton
English Premier League
03.10.20	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2 ✺
English League Cup
30.09.20	Everton - West Ham United	4:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
26.09.20	Everton - Universidad Católica	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
26.09.20	Crystal Palace - Everton	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.20	Fleetwood Town - Everton	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
17.10.19	Everton - Curicó Unido	2:1
12.04.19	Curicó Unido - Everton	2:2
07.10.18	Curicó Unido - Everton	3:1
12.05.18	Everton - Curicó Unido	1:1
13.10.17	Everton - Curicó Unido	1:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.04.16	Curicó Unido - Everton	2:1
14.11.15	Everton - Curicó Unido	1:0

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