Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
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Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
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Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360


	Everton		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	5.25
	1.65	3.95	5.4
	1.68	3.94	5.55
	1.65	3.67	5.38	Watch
	1.74	4	5.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.81)	3.87 ↑ (3.65)	5.36 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
57.3%

Draw
24.8%

West Ham United
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

26.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25.9%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	8.2%	12.9%

Everton - West Ham United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - West Ham (3.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - West Ham (3.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Everton (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Everton will win (65 of 83 users predict this - 78.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.44% – 87.18%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Everton will win (35 of 45 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 49 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 36 - 73.5%). West Ham (votes: 11 - 22.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 5. Keane M. 16. Mykolenko V. 37. Garner J. 27. Gueye I. 10. Ndiaye I. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 18. Grealish J. 9. Beto	23. Areola A. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 15. Mavropanos K. 3. Kilman M. 12. Diouf M. 27. Magassa S. 18. Fernandes M. 20. Bowen J. (C) 10. Lucas Paqueta 7. Summerville C. 11. Fullkrug N.
Substitutes
24. Alcaraz C. 39. Aznou A. 11. Barry T. 23. Coleman S. 20. Dibling T. 42. Iroegbunam T. 7. McNeil D. 2. Patterson N. 12. Travers M. (G)	1. Hermansen M. (G) 5. Igor 39. Irving A. 17. Luis Guilherme 50. Marshall C. 32. Potts F. 24. Rodriguez G. 30. Scarles O. 9. Wilson C.
Coaches
Moyes D.	Espirito Santo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Keane M. ⚽, Garner J. (A),
24', Tarkowski J. 🟨,
33', Walker-Peters K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Magassa S. 🟨,
59', Magassa S. ↓, Potts F. ↑,
64', Kilman M. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Bowen J. ⚽,
69', Beto ↓, Barry T. ↑,
77', Summerville C. ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
81', Ndiaye I. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
82', Mavropanos K. 🟨,
87', Mykolenko V. 🟨,
90', Dewsbury-Hall K. 🟨,
90+4', Lucas Paqueta ↓, Igor ↑,
90+4', Fullkrug N. ↓, Irving A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 1.

Everton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

West Ham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

West Ham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Everton is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Hamstring Injury) Rohl M. (Knock)

There will not play in West Ham: Soucek T. (Red Card) Wan-Bissaka A. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Everton won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English League Cup
23.09.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Liverpool - Everton	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Everton - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.25	Everton - Mansfield Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTWW
- West Ham United
English Premier League
20.09.25	West Ham United - Crystal Palace	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	West Ham United - Tottenham Hotspur	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Nottingham Forest - West Ham United	0:3 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
22.08.25	West Ham United - Chelsea	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Premier League Summer Series
30.07.25	West Ham United - Everton	2:1
English Premier League
15.03.25	Everton - West Ham United	1:1
09.11.24	West Ham United - Everton	0:0
02.03.24	Everton - West Ham United	1:3
29.10.23	West Ham United - Everton	0:1
21.01.23	West Ham United - Everton	2:0
18.09.22	Everton - West Ham United	1:0

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